BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
Italy Campionato - Serie A - Frosinone Vs Fiorentina, 9th November on 9:30 P.M.
Frosinone - Fiorentina, 9th November on 9:30 P.M.
The home team is currently in the 19th position of the league, with 6 points won, after 1 win, 3 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against SPAL, by (0‑3). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Parma, by (0‑0). Interestingly enough, this is a team that has had better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 4 points in away matches and only 2 at their stadium. For the league, Frosinone won 2 points out of 15 possible points, after 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 home matches.
In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 5 home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They haven't been able to score the first goal. In fact, they have only opened up the score in 2 of the last 11 matches for the Serie A, they have reached half‑time in advantage in 1 of those 2 matches and have held on to the lead in 1. They have conceded the first goal in 7 of their 11 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 5 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 5 of their 12 goals between minutes (76'‑90').
Frosinone comes to this game after a 0-0 away draw against Parma. It should be noted that the home team has not lost for three consecutive rounds in the Italian championship. Coach Moreno Longo usually plays in a traditional 3-4-3, favoring a faster style of playing, of constant transitions, attacking, preferably, through the side aisles. It should be noted that in this tactical formation the three most advanced players are Campbell, Ciano and Ciofani: the second athlete is Frosinone's top scorer with 3 goals scored. Out of this game are Dionisi and Paganini due to injury.
The away team is currently in the 8th position of the league, with 16 points won, after 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Torino, by (1‑1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Roma, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 2 points in away matches and 14 at their stadium, with 14 goals scored and 3 conceded at home, against 3 goals scored and 6 conceded in away matches. In the last 5 away league matches Fiorentina has a record of 2 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 2 points out of 15 possible.
In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 5 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 15 of the last 23 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals.
Fiorentina arrives at this clash motivated after a 1-1 home draw against Roma, however, it recorded the fourth straight game without a win in this competition: Veretout scored the only goal of the team. Unlike the opponent of this round, Fiorentina usually plays in a 4-3-3, where the three most advanced players are Mirallas, Chiesa and Simoone. When the team invests in the offensive process usually does so through the right aisle, taking advantage of the depth offered by Chiesa. There are no weight absences for this game.
It is expected Frosinone to fall on top of the opponent, as the team plays at home, however it should have a very complicated game, since the opponent presents a lot of quality. The away team comes to this game with the aim of surprising the opponent, thus conquering the three points, which would be quite important for the rest of the competition. Even though playing away from home, we believe Fiorentina have an advantage by holding a higher quality squad. Therefore, we will bet on the away team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 1.75.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipter. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database
any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away
goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for
example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The
above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE
bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of
the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are
briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the Frosinone - Fiorentina game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for draw and for Frosinone win are very low, while the odds for Fiorentina win is particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for the Frosinone - Fiorentina match we will propose Fiorentina win offered in a betting odd around 1.75.