BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
UEFA Europa League - Luzern - Olympiakos, 16th August on 8:30 P.M.
After the away loss in the 1st leg, the home team comes to this match with the hard task of having to recover from a 4 goals disadvantage and haven't scored any away goals in the first match. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 17 goals scored and 21 conceded; against 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 15 conceded. In their last match, for the Super League, they got a home loss against Young Boys by (2‑3). In the last 10 home matches Luzern has won 4, tied 3 and lost 3. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 44 of the last 51 have ended with Over 1,5 goals. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 4 home matches for all competitions: they have suffered 3 of their 7 goals between minutes (61'‑75').
Luzern comes for this match after a home defeat against Young Boys by 2-3, adding the second followed defeat in several competitions, being one of them in the first leg of this Europe League tie: they lost against Olympiakos by 4-0. In this home match, the coach René Weiler should take to the field a more direct team, looking for the counterattack in order to take advantage of the space on the opponent's back: Pascal Schurpf may be the big player in this type of transition. It seems that the home team won’t count on the injured Custodio, Cirkovic, Juric and Knezevic.
The away team comes to this 2nd leg match with an advantage of 4 goals, but has suffered 0 goals at home in the 1st leg. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 24 goals scored and 22 conceded; against 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 30 goals scored and 7 conceded. In the last 10 away matches Olympiakos Piraeus has won 3, tied 2 and lost 5. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches.
Olympiakos comes for this second leg in advantage, having beaten Luzern by 4-0 at home: goals were scored by Miguel Guerrero (2) and Christodoulopoulos (2). In this match at Luzern ground, the Portuguese coach Pedro Martins should play in 4-2-3-1 benefiting from ball possession and the organized attacks, looking for the majority of the occasions the forward Guerrero: this player is a very powerful and strong player in the completion. Nevertheless, we emphasize that the Greeks present great quality in the maintenance of ball possession and finishing. There are no weight absences for this match.
The most likely scenario for this match will be Olympiakos win. Looking at the both teams’ squads, it’s possible to notice that the Greeks take great advantage in comparison with the adversary, and besides this they’re accustomed to this type of pressure. On the other hand, Luzern should not give up, however, has no weapons to conquer the victory. So, we believe that Olympiakos will win this match. This bet can be found at 1.95 or more.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipter. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the Luzern - Olympiakos game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for draw and for Luzern win are very low, while the odds for Olympiakos win is particularly high.
by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for the Luzern - Olympiakos match we will propose Olympiakos win
offered in a betting odd around 1.95