BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
Italy Serie A - Parma Vs Lecce, 13 January on 9:45 P.M.
Parma Vs Lecce, 13 January on 9:45 P.M.
The home team is currently in the 9th position of the league, with 25 won, after 7 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Brescia, by (1‑1). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Atalanta, by (5‑0). This is a team that maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since they have had similar results in both conditions. In the last 9 home league matches Parma has a record of 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, so they have won 13 points out of 27 possible. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (4 out of 9 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches for this competition there is a tendency for few goals, since 6 of the last 9 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 18 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have only turned the score around in 1.
Parma heads into this match after a 5-0 defeat against Atalanta, thus adding the second straight match without a win in this competition. Please note that the home club have won just 1 of their last 4 home matches. Coach Roberto D'Aversa should keep the team in 4-3-3 in favor of a more domineering style of play and looking for space in the corridors to attack. The man who usually occupies the attacking front, Kulusevski, is the best scorer of this team with 4 goals. For this match the coach of the house cannot count on Barrillà, punished, as well as Gervinho, Karamoh and Cornelius, these with physical problems
The away team is currently in the 17th position of the league, with 15 points won, after 3 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Bologna, by (2‑3). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Udinese, by (0‑1). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 11 points in away matches and 4 at their stadium, with 10 goals scored and 17 goals conceded at home, against 12 goals scored and 19 goals conceded in away matches. In the last 9 away league matches Lecce has a record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 11 points out of 27 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 7 of the last 9 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 18 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 13 times and have never been able to turn the score around.
Lecce comes unmotivated for this match after the 0-1 loss against Udinese, making it the fourth straight match without a win in this Italian championship. Away from home, the visitors have won just 3 of the 9 games played. In this match against Parma we will be able to see a 4-4-2 lineup with Babacar and Filippo Falco as the most advanced men. Offensive midfielder Marco Mancosu is the top scorer of this team with 5 goals scored. Out of this match due to injury are Calderoni and Zan Majer.
The market we recommend for this game is the triumph of Parma. We believe that the hosts will dominate and enjoy the best chances of goal, as they hold a team superior to the opponent of this round. In addition, the home team arrive at this game very motivated, apart from the improvements they presented to each game that passes. On the other hand Lecce have some gaps in their style of play, which will be fundamental in this clash. To risk this in favor of the victory of the hosts is of enormous value. Therefore, we will bet on the home team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 1.96.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipter. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the Parma – Lecce game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for Lecce win and draw are very low, while the odd for Parma win is particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for the Parma – Lecce match we will propose Parma win offered in a betting odd around 1.96.