BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
Spain Segunda Division - Almeria Vs Real Oviedo, 16 January on 10:00 P.M.
Almeria Vs Real Oviedo, 16 January on 10:00 P.M.
After 10 wins, 9 draws and 3 losses, the home team is in the 2nd position, having won 39 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Lugo by (0‑4), after in the previous match they have lost (2‑3) at home, against Ponferradina. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since they have won 19 points in away matches, with 20 goals scored and 12 conceded, against 20 points won at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 10 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches Almería has a record of 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 20 points out of 30 possible. There are a few recurrent results in their home league matches at half‑time: 1‑0 (4 out of 10 matches) and 0‑0 (4 out of 10 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 8 of their 22 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 10 home matches for this competition there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 8 of their 19 goals between minutes (76'‑90'); they have conceded 4 of their 10 goals between minutes (61'‑75').
Almería entered the new year to the best of their ability by beating Lugo's team by 0-4, in a match for matchday two of the SmartBank League. Darwin Nuñez was in the spotlight in this match by contributing two goals to the team's victory, the remaining goals were scored by Juan Muñoz and José Carlos Lazo.
José Maria Gutierrez's side are expected to play in the usual 4-4-2, where they favor organization and counterattacks. The two most advanced players, tasked with materializing their team's danger moves, will be Darwin Nuñez and Juan Muñoz. The midfield should be composed of Sérgio Aguza, César de la Hoz and José Carlos Lazo. The last man mentioned is the team's top scorer with eight goals scored. As far as he is concerned, the away coach should not have any heavy losses for this match.
The away team is currently in the 17th position of the league, with 23 points won, after 5 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Racing Santander, by (1‑1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Málaga, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, with 12 goals scored and 13 goals conceded at home, against 15 goals scored and 20 conceded in away matches. In the last 10 away league matches Real Oviedo has a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses, so they have won 10 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches, the most frequent final score was the 2‑1 (4 out of 11 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 9 of the last 11 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 22 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have only turned the score around in 1.
Real Oviedo comes for this match after a 1-0 draw against Málaga, adding their fourth consecutive match without a win in the Spanish second division. In the first half, Marco Sangalli opened the scoring in favor of the home side, but through a mistake by the local defensive, the visitors reached the goal through a penalty that Armando Sadiku charged irrepressibly.
Playing in a 4-3-3, the away formation should focus on the most direct game. Marco Sangalli, Édgar Bárcenas and Alfredo Ortuño should be the main figures in the Oviedo attack. For its part, the midfield should be made up of Borja Sánchez, Sérgio Tejera and Jimmy Suárez. It seems that coach Javier Perez Rozada should have all the units at his disposal for the meeting against Almería.
The market we recommend for this game is the triumph of Almeria. We believe that the hosts will dominate and enjoy the best chances of goal, as they hold a team superior to the opponent of this round. In addition, the home team arrives at this game very motivated, apart from the improvements they presented to each game that passes. On the other hand Real Oviedo has some gaps in their style of play, which will be fundamental in this clash. To risk this in favor of the victory of the hosts is of enormous value. Therefore, we will bet on the home team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 1.94.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipter. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
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For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the Almeria – Real Oviedo game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for Real Oviedo win and draw are very low, while the odd for Almeria win is particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for the Almeria – Real Oviedo match we will propose Almeria win offered in a betting odd around 1.94.