BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
Portugal Primeira Liga - FC Porto Vs Braga, 17 January on 9:00 P.M.
FC Porto Vs Braga, 17 January on 9:00 P.M.
The home team is currently in the 2nd position of the league, with 41 points won, after 13 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Sporting CP, by (1‑2). In the last match, they won in an away match against Moreirense, by (2‑4). In their last match, for the Taça de Portugal, they got a home win against Varzim by (2‑1).
In this competition, they have a sequence of 7 wins in the last home matches. There are a few recurrent results in their home matches: at half‑time 2‑0 (3 out of 7 matches) and 1‑0 (4 out of 7 matches) and after the 90' 3‑0 (3 out of 7 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 12 of the last 16 matches for the Primeira Liga, they have reached half‑time in front in 11 of those 12 matches and have always held on to the lead until the end of the 90'. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have only turned the score around in 1. there are 2 periods that stand out in the last 16 home matches for all competitions: they have suffered 3 of their 8 goals between minutes (31'‑45') and 3 of their 8 goals between (0'‑15').
The FC Porto team comes to this 17th round, which completes the first round of the NOS League, in the runner-up of the classification, with four points disadvantage for Benfica. Despite the good campaign carried out by the team led by Sérgio Conceição, the dragons have lagged behind their rivals and are looking to capitalize on the eventual loss of eagles' points in the derby against Sporting. In the last round, FC Porto won, in a difficult game, against Moreirense, by 4-2, with goals scored by Soares, Alex Telles, Luis Díaz and Corona, to materialize the turnaround after the goal conceded early in the match. However, already after that, the blue-and-white team again failed to convince at all but managed to reach the Portuguese Cup semi-finals by beating Varzim at home last Tuesday, by 2-1.
The away team is currently in the 5th position of the league, with 24 points won, after 7 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Belenenses, by (1‑7). In the last match, they won in a home match against Tondela, by (2‑1). In the last 8 away league matches Sporting Braga has a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, so they have won 10 points out of 24 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑1 (3 out of 8 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have only turned the score around in 1.
Despite the stubborn start, Sporting Braga is moralized on this round 17, having managed to get closer in recent weeks to the places of access to European competitions, in what is the main goal of the Minho's group in this championship. Rúben Amorim's entry into the coaching position left vacant by the departure of Sá Pinto seems to have worked well, as Braga scored two wins in both games with the new coach. First, with the historic 7-1 victory against Belenenses and, more recently, against Tondela, where Braga had to react to a less successful first half, in a game where they went to the disadvantage. A Paulinho's encore would materialize, in the last minutes of the game, the turnaround at Pedreira, in a second half where Braga clearly rose from production.
The market we recommend for this game is the triumph of FC Porto. We believe that the hosts will dominate and enjoy the best chances of goal, as they hold a team superior to the opponent of this round. In addition, the home team arrives at this game very motivated, apart from the improvements they presented to each game that passes. On the other hand Braga has some gaps in their style of play, which will be fundamental in this clash. To risk this in favor of the victory of the hosts is of enormous value. Therefore, we will bet on the home team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 1.66.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipter. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the FC Porto – Braga game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for Braga win and draw are very low, while the odd for FC Porto win is particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for the FC Porto – Braga match we will propose FC Porto win offered in a betting odd around 1.66.