BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
Spain Segunda Division - Lugo Vs Cadiz, 6 March on 10:00 P.M.
Lugo Vs Cadiz, 6 March on 10:00 P.M.
The home team is currently in the 19th position of the league, with 33 points won, after 7 wins, 12 draws and 11 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Real Oviedo, by (1‑0). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Deportivo La Coruña, by (0‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 10 goals scored and 16 conceded; against 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 17 goals scored and 23 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches Lugo has a record of 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 15 points out of 30 possible. In 30 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 12 times and have never been able to turn the score around.
Cádiz received and beat Almería's team by 2-1 in a match related to the 30th round of the SmartBank League. Nikola Maras (own goal) and Álex scored the home team's goals. With this result, the visiting team sealed a series of two consecutive defeats in the championship, where they now lead with fifty-five points, three more than their direct pursuer, Real Zaragoza.
The Cadiz team should play in the usual 4-3-3 tactical system, with Alberto Perea, Lozano and Iván Alejo being the main figures in the attack of the visiting team. As far as the midfield is concerned, it should consist of Álex, José Mari - a player who returns after a suspension game - and Jon Ander Garrido. For this match, coach Álvaro Cervera will have all the players available.
The away team is currently in the 1st position of the league, with 55 points won, after 16 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Sporting Gijón, by (1‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against Almería, by (2‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 14 goals scored and 13 conceded; against 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 24 goals scored and 14 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Cádiz has a record of 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 12 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (8 out of 15 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 30 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have only turned the score around in 3. In the last 15 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 7 of their 14 goals between minutes (76'‑90').
The most likely scenario will be, Cádiz even away from home to dominate the match and have the best goal opportunities, since they have a squad with more technical arguments than the rival of this matchday, which has shown many defensive weaknesses. Having said that and taking into account the current moment of the two teams in the championship, it is expected that the visitors are the team most likely to add the three points, so we would bet on their victory.
It is expected of Lugo to fall on top of the opponent, as the team plays at home, however it should have a very complicated game, since the opponent presents a lot of quality. The away team comes to this game with the aim of surprising the opponent, thus conquering the three points, which would be quite important for the rest of the competition. Even though playing away from home, we believe Cadiz have an advantage by holding a higher quality squad. Therefore, we will bet on the away team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 2.21.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipster. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the Lugo – Cadiz game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for Lugo win is low, while the odds for Cadiz win and draw are particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for Lugo – Cadiz match we will propose Cadiz win offered in a betting odd around 2.21.