BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
UEFA Champions League - Napoli Vs Liverpool, 3rd October on 10:00 P.M.
Napoli-Liverpool, 3rd October on 10:00 P.M.
The home team comes to this 2nd round of Group C after a draw in their debut in this group stage, against Crvena Zvezda, by (0‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 19 goals scored and 21 conceded; against 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses at their stadium, with 37 goals scored and 17 conceded. They come to this match after a away loss against Juventus by (3‑1). Napoli has won 9 and tied 1 of the last 10 home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches. In the last 4 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 3 of their 7 goals between minutes (76'‑90').
Napoli has never managed to win the Champions League, but has a Europa League title, as well as two Serie A TIM (Italian League) titles throughout its history. In the current season, the team made a good debut in the Champions League group stage, having added a goalless away draw against Crvena Zvezda, being thus in the third position of Group C. In five of the last six games that Napoli played at home, considering only the official games, were scored two or more goals and in four of these games were scored more than 2.5 goals. We believe that in this confrontation Napoli will make one more a busy game, since it needs to leave for the attack in search of the victory to fight for the first place of the group.
The away team comes to this 2nd round of Group C after a win in their debut in this group stage, against PSG, by (3‑2). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 32 goals scored and 18 conceded; against 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 41 goals scored and 10 conceded. In their last match, for the Premier League, they got an away tie against Chelsea by (1‑1). In the last 10 away matches Liverpool has won 8 and tied 2. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 13 of the last 15 matches, they have reached half‑time in front in 10 of those 13 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 11 of them.
Liverpool has won the Champions League five times through its history, being the most recent title conquered in 2004/05. Last season, the team made an almost impeccable campaign, reaching the final of the Champions League, but ended up being defeated by Real Madrid (3-1). In the current season, the team managed to make a good debut in the Champions League group stage, by beating Paris Saint-Germain at home by 3-2 and is leading the Group C. In the last five games that Liverpool played away from home, counting several competitions, were scored two or more goals by the teams and in three of these games were scored more than 2.5 goals. We believe that in this confrontation Liverpool will make another game with several goals.
Liverpool has more quality on some levels compared to the opponent of this game, so the tendency is to dominate possession and hold the best opportunities to score. On the other hand, Napoli will fight with their weapons, trying to add points, but without great success. By taking into account these factors we will risk with the draw founded in a betting odd around 3.70.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipter. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the Napoli - Liverpool game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for Napoli win and Liverpool win is very low, while the betting odds for draw is particularly high.
by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for the Napoli - Liverpool
match we will risk and propose draw offered
in a betting odd around 3.78.