BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
Italy Serie A - Brescia Vs Lazio, 5 January on 1:30 P.M.
Brescia Vs Lazio, 5 January on 1:30 P.M.
The home team is currently in the 18th position of the league, with 14 points won, after 4 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Sassuolo, by (0‑2). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Parma, by (1‑1). In the last 8 home league matches Brescia has a record of 1 win, 1 draw and 6 losses, so they have won 4 points out of 24 possible. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑1 (3 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 6 of the last 8 for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 17 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have never been able to turn the score around. there are 2 periods that stand out in the last 7 home matches for all competitions: they have suffered 5 of their 11 goals between minutes (16'‑30') and 4 of their 11 goals between (61'‑75').
Brescia heads into this match after a 1-1 draw in Parma's stadium, adding the second consecutive match without proving the taste of victory in the Italian championship: the only goal of the team was signed by Mario Balotelli. Despite several difficulties, coach Eugenio Corini should keep the team in their usual tactical design, namely the 4-4-2, where Donnarumma and Torregrossa are the most advanced men of the team. Donnarumma and Balotelli are the best scorers of this Brescia with 2 goals each. Out of this game are Ndoj and Dessena, both with physical problems.
The away team is currently in the 3rd position of the league, with 36 points won, after 11 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Juventus, by (3‑1). In the last match, they won in an away match against Cagliari, by (1‑2). In their last match, for the Super Cup, they got an away win against Juventus by (1‑3). In the last 8 away league matches Lazio has a record of 5 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, so they have won 16 points out of 24 possible.
In this competition, they have a sequence of 4 wins in the last away matches and they haven't lost any of the last 5 away matches. In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 1‑1 (3 out of 8 matches) and after the 90' 1‑2 (4 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 7 of the last 8 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times but have turned the score around in 2.
Lazio comes for this match after a great 1-3 win against Juventus, thus winning the Italian Super Cup. In the last game for the championship, the visitors beat Cagliari by 1-2. In this game against Brescia, mister Simone Inzaghi is expected to act with an offensive strategy, looking for the counter attack in order to explore the enemy's back. Ciro Immobile is Lazio's top scorer with 17 goals scored. All players are available for this game.
It is expected of Brescia to fall on top of the opponent, as the team plays at home, however it should have a very complicated game, since the opponent presents a lot of quality. The away team comes to this game with the aim of surprising the opponent, thus conquering the three points, which would be quite important for the rest of the competition. Even though playing away from home, we believe Lazio have an advantage by holding a higher quality squad. Therefore, we will bet on the away team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 1.59.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipster. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the – Lazio game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for Brescia win is low, while the odds for Lazio win and draw are particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for Brescia – Lazio match we will propose Lazio win offered in a betting odd around 1.59.