BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
UEFA Champions League - Benfica Vs Zenit, 10 December on 10:00 P.M.
Benfica Vs Zenit, 10 December on 10:00 P.M.
The home team is currently in the 4th position, with 4 points won, after 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses. In the penultimate round, they have lost an away match against Olympique Lyonnais by (3‑1). In the last round, they have tied an away match against RB Leipzig by (2‑2). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 37 goals scored and 14 conceded; against 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses at their stadium, with 39 goals scored and 9 conceded. In their last match, for the Primeira Liga, they got an away win against Boavista by (1‑4). In the last 10 home matches Benfica has won 7, tied 1 and lost 2. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in all of the last 5 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in all of the last 5 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 21 of the last 30 matches have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 11 matches, they have conceded the first goal 4 times, but have turned the score around in 2.
Benfica comes motivated for this match after a great win at Boavista, by 1-4, returning to triumphs after the draw against Covilhã: the goals of the team were initialed by Carlos Vinícius (2), Cervi and Gabriel. It should be noted that Benfica players have no chance of move forward in the Champions League, and in addition, they need the others’ results to win third position in Group G. In this match against Zenit, coach Bruno Lage should benefit from maintaining the ball possession and organized attacks, however, at some points in the match they should risk only on the counterattack. Pizzi is the best scorer of reds in this competition with 2 scored goals. Absent from this match is Rafa Silva, a player recovering from injury.
The away team is currently in the 2nd position, with 7 points won, after 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses. In the penultimate round, they have lost a home match agaisnt RB Leipzig by (0‑2). In the last round, they have won a home match against Olympique Lyonnais by (2‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in away matches, with 25 goals scored and 10 conceded; against 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 35 goals scored and 12 conceded. In their last match, for the Premier League, they got a home win against Dinamo Moskva by (3‑0). Their last away match was for the Premier League and ended in a win by (1‑2) against Rubin Kazan'. In the last 10 away matches Zenit has won 6, tied 1 and lost 3. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 4 of the last 5 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 4 of the last 5 matches for this competition. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 14 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 5 of their 8 goals between minutes (46'‑60').
Zenit St Petersburg comes motivated for this match after a 3-0 win against Dynamo Moscow in a match for the Russian Championship: goals were scored by Ivanovic, Dzyuba and Azmoun. To move forward in the Champions League, the Russians need to beat Benfica or hope Lyon don't score against RB Leipzig. Coach Sergey Semak should keep the team in 4-4-2 benefiting from defensive organization and counterattacks, best looking for space in the opponent's back. Dzyuba and Azmoun are Zenit's top scorers in this competition with 2 goals each. Absent from this match are Malcolm, Lunev and Zuykov, all with physical problems.
The market we recommend for this game is the triumph of Benfica. We believe that the hosts will dominate and enjoy the best chances of goal, as they hold a team superior to the opponent of this round. In addition, the home team arrive at this game very motivated, apart from the improvements they presented to each game that passes. On the other hand Zenit have some gaps in their style of play, which will be fundamental in this clash. To risk this in favor of the victory of the hosts is of enormous value. Therefore, we will bet on the home team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 2.25.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipter. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the Benfica – Zenit game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odd offered for draw is very low, while the odds for Benfica and Zenit win are particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for the Benfica – Zenit match we will propose Benfica win offered in a betting odd around 2.25.