BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
UEFA Champions League - Lille OSC Vs AFC Ajax, 27 November on 10:00 P.M.
Lille OSC Vs AFC Ajax, 27 November on 10:00 P.M.
The home team is currently in the 4th position, with 1 point won, after 1 draw and 3 losses. In the penultimate round, they have tied a home match against Valencia by (1‑1). In the last round, they have lost an away match against Valencia by (4‑1). This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in away matches; against 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses at their stadium. In their last match, for the Ligue 1, they got an away loss against PSG by (2‑0). In the last 10 home matches Lille has won 5, tied 3 and lost 2.
In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 4 matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in all of the last 4 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 3 of the last 4 matches for this competition. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have never been able to turn the score around.
Lille comes for this match after a 2-0 loss away from home against PSG, adding the fourth official match without proving the taste of victory. In the last match for the Champions League group stage, the home club lost 4-1 to Valencia. In this match against Ajax, mister Christophe Galtier should favor the defensive organization and counterattacks through the corridors. The winger Ikoné is one of the most dangerous players on the attacking front, who is very competent in carrying the ball to the offense. There are no major absences for this game.
The away team is currently in the 1st position, with 7 points won, after 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss. In the penultimate round, they have lost a home match agaisnt Chelsea by (0‑1). In the last round, they have tied an away match against Chelsea by (4‑4). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 10 wins and 5 draws in away matches, with 48 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses at their stadium, with 46 goals scored and 10 conceded. In their last match, for the Eredivisie, they got a home win against Heracles by (4‑1). In the last 4 UEFA Champions League away matches Ajax has a record of 1 win and 3 draws.
In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 4 away matches. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 6 of the last 8 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 20 of the last 28 matches have ended with Over 2,5 goals.
Ajax comes for this match after a 4-1 win against Heracles, counting for the Dutch Championship. It should be noted that the Dutch club drew 4-4 against Chelsea in the last match for the Champions League. In this match against Lille, mister Erik ten Hag should privilege the maintenance of the ball and the organized attacks, however, in some moments of the match he should act in a more direct way. Winger Promes is Ajax's top scorer in the million-dollar league with 3 goals scored. For this match the visiting coach cannot count on Joel Veltman and Blind, both punished, besides David Neres, who is injured.
It is expected of CSA to fall on top of the opponent, as the team plays at home, however it should have a very complicated game, since the opponent presents a lot of quality. The away team comes to this game with the aim of surprising the opponent, thus conquering the three points, which would be quite important for the rest of the competition. Even though playing away from home, we believe Ajax have an advantage by holding a higher quality squad. Therefore, we will bet on the away team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 1.92.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipster. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match Lillelable from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the – Ajax game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odd offered for draw is low, while the odds for Lille and Ajax win are particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for Lille – Ajax match we will propose Ajax win offered in a betting odd around 1.92.