BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
UEFA Champions League - PAOK - Benfica, 29th August on 10:00 P.M.
PAOK - Benfica, 29th August on 10:00 P.M.
The home team comes to this 2nd leg match with the advantage of the away draw by (1‑1), so all they need is a tie for under 1 goal to stay ahead in the aggregate result. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in away matches, with 32 goals scored and 9 conceded; against 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 29 goals scored and 18 conceded. They come to this match after a home win against Asteras Tripolis by (1‑0). PAOK has won 7, tied 2 and lost 1 of the last 10 home matches.
They haven’t lost any of the last 5 matches for this competition. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 4 of the last 5 matches for this competition. In the last 4 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 3 of their 6 goals between minutes (31'‑45').
PAOK heads to this game motivated after beating Asteras by 1-0 in a game to count towards Day 1 of the Greek championship. The home side managed to score a goal in the first leg of the group-stage play-offs of the Champions League, thus remaining ahead. In this second leg against Benfica, coach Razvan Lucescu should opt for a strategy similar to the last one, benefiting the defensive organization and the counterattacks: Léo Jabá is a very fast and strong player in the offensive transition. There are no weight absences for this game.
The away team comes to this 2nd leg match in disadvantage, since despite the 1st leg draw they have conceded 1 goal at home. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins and 6 draws in away matches, with 27 goals scored and 12 conceded; against 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 33 goals scored and 13 conceded. In their last match, for the Primeira Liga, they got a home tie against Sporting CP by (1‑1). In the last 10 away matches Benfica has won 7 and tied 3. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches.
Benfica had a difficult game on the last round of the Portuguese championship, however, managed a 1-1 draw against its eternal rival Sporting: prodigy João Félix scored the only goal of the team. We remember that the locals presented a good performance in the first leg of the play-offs, but they did not go beyond a 1-1 draw. In this second clash against PAOK, manager Rui Vitória should remain faithful to his game model, favoring the exchange of ball and organized attacks: Pizzi is the great maestro of the Portuguese team. For this move to Greece, the coach cannot count on Corchia, Jonas, Krovinovic and Castillo, all with physical problems.
In this first confrontation for the playoffs, Benfica play at home, apart from being a better team than the opponent. But the away team has demonstrated strength in the away games. The home team is the great favorite and playing next to their fans, will have the highest chances of goals, where betting on their win should be the most appropriate but at a betting odd value not less than 1.45.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipter. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the PAOK- Benfica game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odd offered for Under 2.5 Goal is very low, while the odd for Over 2.5 Goal is particularly high.
by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for the PAOK- Benfica match we will propose Over 2.5 Goal offered in a betting odd around 2.01.