BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
Italy Serie A - Genoa Vs Lazio, 23 February on 1:30 P.M.
Genoa Vs Lazio, 23 February on 1:30 P.M.
After 5 wins, 7 draws and 12 losses, the home team is in the 18th position, having won 22 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Bologna by (0‑3), after in the previous match they have won (1‑0) at home, against Cagliari. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 7 draws and 7 losses in away matches; against 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses at their stadium. For the league, Genoa won 10 points out of 30 possible points, after 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses in the last 10 home matches. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (4 out of 11 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 13 of their 24 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 11 home matches for this competition: they have suffered 6 of their 15 goals between minutes (76'‑90').
Genoa starts this game with a triumph, by 0-3, while traveling to Bologna, adding the second consecutive victory in this competition: the goals of the team were scored by Soumaoro, Criscito and Sanabria. Despite playing at home, mister Davide Nicola should benefit from the defensive organization and the direct balls for the attack. Even so, we highlight that the home team has some difficulty in finishing. Goran Pandev is the best scorer in this Genoa with 5 goals scored. For this round, the home coach does not have Sturaro, punished, as well as Lerager, Ghiglione, Romero, Pajac and Radovanovic, these with physical problems.
The away team is currently in the 2nd position of the league, with 56 points won, after 17 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Parma, by (0‑1). In the last match, they won in a home match against Internazionale, by (2‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 20 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 42 goals scored and 12 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Lazio has a record of 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 20 points out of 30 possible.
In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 8 away matches. In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 1‑1 (5 out of 11 matches) and after the 90' 1‑2 (5 out of 11 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 8 of the last 11 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 24 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times but have turned the score around in 4. In the last 11 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 6 of their 12 goals between minutes (16'‑30').
Lazio's team comes to this game with a 2-1 victory against Inter Milan, thus totaling the second consecutive victory in this Italian championship: the team's goals were scored by Milinkovic-Savic and Immobile. We highlight that the visitors are only 1 point behind the leader Juventus. In this game at Genoa, coach Simone Inzaghi is expected to adopt a more offensive strategy in order to win the three points. However, it is important to remind that the foreign team has quality in the finishing, aerial play and defensive dead balls. Ciro Immobile is Lazio's top scorer with 26 goals. For this match the mister cannot count on Luiz Felipe, punished, as well as Lulic, this injured.
It is expected of Genoa to fall on top of the opponent, as the team plays at home, however it should have a very complicated game, since the opponent presents a lot of quality. The away team comes to this game with the aim of surprising the opponent, thus conquering the three points, which would be quite important for the rest of the competition. Even though playing away from home, we believe Lazio has an advantage by holding a higher quality squad. Therefore, we will bet on the away team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 1.80.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipster. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the Genoa – Lazio game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for Genoa win and draw are low, while the odd for Lazio win is particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for Genoa – Lazio match we will propose Lazio win offered in a betting odd around 1.80.