BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
France Ligue 1 - Nice Vs Montpellier, 7th April on 6:00 P.M.
Nice Vs Montpellier, 7th April on 6:00 P.M.
The home team is currently in the 8th position of the league, with 44 points won, after 12 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Toulouse, by (1‑1). In the last match, they won in an away match against Dijon, by (0‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since they have won 20 points in away matches, with 10 goals scored and 17 conceded, against 24 points won at their stadium, with 12 goals scored and 12 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches Nice has a record of 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 21 points out of 30 possible.
They haven’t lost any of the last 9 home matches for this competition. In their home league matches there are a few frequent results at half‑time: 1‑0 (6 out of 14 matches) and 0‑0 (5 out of 14 matches). In their home matches for this competition there is a tendency for few goals, since 11 of the last 14 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 14 of their 30 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 14 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 5 of their 12 goals between minutes (76'‑90').
The away team is currently in the 7th position of the league, with 45 points won, after 11 wins, 12 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Olympique Lyonnais, by (3‑2). In the last match, they won in a home match against Guingamp, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, with 24 goals scored and 15 goals conceded at home, against 18 goals scored and 19 conceded in away matches. In the last 10 away league matches Montpellier has a record of 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 10 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (7 out of 15 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 30 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 12 times and have only turned the score around in 1.
It is expected Nice to fall on top of the opponent, as the team plays at home, however it should have a very complicated game, since the opponent presents a lot of quality. The away team comes to this game with the aim of surprising the opponent, thus conquering the three points, which would be quite important for the rest of the competition. Even though playing away from home, we believe Montpellier have an advantage by holding a higher quality squad. Therefore, we will bet on the away team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 2.85.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipter. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the
return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company
are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore
it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the Nice - Montpellier game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for draw and for Nice win are very low, while the odd for Monpellier win is particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for Nice - Montpellier match we will propose Montpellier win offered in a betting odd around 2.85. Also Over 2.5 and Goal-Goal bets are overestimated and can be played offered in a betting odd around 2.60 and 2.15.