BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
UEFA Champions League - Liverpool Vs Atletico Madrid, 11 March on 10:00 P.M.
Liverpool Vs Atletico Madrid, 11 March on 10:00 P.M.
Atlético Madrid face at Anfield, in a 2nd leg match for the UEFA Champions
League (8th Finals), after the (1‑0) home win by Atlético Madrid in the 1st leg
match. The recent head‑to‑head record favours the away team, since they have a
record of 1 win and 1 draw in the last 2 matches. In this match the home
advantage may play an important role, since Atlético Madrid presents
significant differences between home and away performances.
The home team comes to this 2nd leg match with a disadvantage of 1 goal, apart from the drawback of not having scored any away goals in the 1st leg. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in away matches, with 23 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 13 wins and 2 draws at their stadium, with 31 goals scored and 9 conceded. They come to this match after a home win against AFC Bournemouth by (2‑1). Liverpool has won 10 of the last 10 home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 6 of the last 7 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 5 of the last 7 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 31 of the last 35 have ended with Over 1,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 4 of their 15 matches, and have only turned the score around in 1.
Liverpool arrive for this game with a 2-1 home win over Bournemouth, putting an end to the two consecutive losses in official matches. We recall that the English lost to Atlético de Madrid, 1-0, in a game counting for the first leg of the round of 16 of the Champions League. Now, in this match next to their fans, coach Jürgen Klopp should organize his team in 4-3-3, benefiting ball possession and attacks organized mainly by the runners: Sadio Mané, Mohamed Salah and Roberto Firmino should compose the wings of the English. Egyptian Mohamed Salah is Liverpool's top scorer in official competitions, with 20 goals scored. Out of this game are Henderson, Clyne, Shaqiri and Robertson, all with physical problems.
The away team comes to this 2nd leg match with an advantage of 1 goal, but has suffered 0 goals at home in the 1st leg. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 9 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 13 goals scored and 16 conceded; against 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 7 conceded. In their last match, for the Primera División, they got a home tie against Sevilla by (2‑2). In the last 10 away matches Atlético Madrid has won 2, tied 3 and lost 5. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 6 of the last 7 matches for this competition. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 20 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 7 of their 20 goals between minutes (46'‑60').
Atletico Madrid arrive for this match with a 2-2 home draw against Sevilla, registering in this way the second consecutive match without winning in the Spanish championship: Morata and João Félix scored the team's goals. It is important to note that the Madrid team beat Liverpool in the first match of this round. In this game against the mighty Liverpool, the competition's defending champion, coach Diego Simeone should maintain the usual 4-4-2, benefiting the organization of his defensive block and the counterattacks on the flanks. Spaniard Álvaro Morata is the highlight of Atlético de Madrid, with 11 goals scored. Out of this game are Lemar and Romera, both with physical problems.
The market we recommend for this game is the triumph of Liverpool. We believe that the hosts will dominate and enjoy the best chances of goal, as they hold a team superior to the opponent of this round. In addition, the home team arrives at this game very motivated, apart from the improvements they presented to each game that passes. On the other hand Atl. Madrid has some gaps in their style of play, which will be fundamental in this clash. To risk this in favor of the victory of the hosts is of enormous value. Therefore, we will bet on the home team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 1.60.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipster. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the Liverpool – Atl. Madrid game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for Atl. Madrid win and draw are very low, while the odd for Liverpool win is particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for the Liverpool – Atl. Madrid match we will propose Liverpool win offered in a betting odd around 1.60.