BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
Italy Campionato - Serie A - AC Milan Vs Napoli, 26th January on 9:30 P.M.
Milan Vs Napoli, 26th January on 9:30 P.M.
After 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses, the home team is in the 4th position, havinf won 34 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Genoa by (0‑2), after in the previous match they have won (2‑1) at home, against SPAL. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in away matches; against 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home league matches Milan has a record of 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 20 points out of 30 possible. The most recurrent final score in their home league matches was the 2‑1 (4 out of 10 matches). In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 20 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times, but have turned the score around in 2.
AC Milan comes for this match with a 0-2 victory at the Genoa stadium, adding its second consecutive victory in the Italian league: the team's goals were signed by Borini and Suso. In this game against Napoli, one of the first in the league table, the coach Gennaro Gattuso should opt for a more cautious strategy, aiding the defensive organization and counterattacks: Suso will be the main weapon in this type of transition. In addition, the player referred above is AC Milan's top scorer with 5 goals scored. For this match the coach can not count on Zapata, Caldara, Biglia and Bonaventura, all injured.
The away team is currently in the 2nd position of the league, with 47 points won, after 15 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Bologna, by (3‑2). In the last match, they won in a home match against Lazio, by (2‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 20 goals scored and 23 conceded; against 12 wins and 3 draws at their stadium, with 32 goals scored and 9 conceded. In the last 9 away league matches Napoli has a record of 6 wins and 3 losses, so they have won 18 points out of 27 possible. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 7 of the last 9 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 20 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times but have turned the score around in 3. In the last 13 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 6 of their 16 goals between minutes (76'‑90').
Napoli comes for this match with a 2-1 win against Lazio, adding to its second consecutive victory in the Italian league: the goals were signed by Callejón and Milik. Throughout the season the coach Carlo Ancelotti has alternated the tactical system between the 4-3-3 and the 4-4-2, however, the offensive reference is usually the Polish Milik: this player is the best scorer of Napoles in the league with 11 goals scored. On the other hand, we emphasize the importance of Mertens and Insigne, both being very fast and competent in the ball transportation. For this game the coach can not count on injured Chiriches.
The most likely scenario for this match will be Napoli winning. The two teams are living in different moments, with Milan having several defeats in the league and Napoli at the top of the league table. In this way, and even away, we think that the visiting team will achieve the three points in this match. The betting odd for Napoli win is founded around 2,40.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipter. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
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match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database
any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away
goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for
example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The
above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE
bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of
the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are
briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the
return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company
are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore
it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the Milan - Napoli game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for draw and for Milan win are very low, while the odds for Napoli win is particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for Milan - Napoli match we will propose Napoli win offered in a betting odd around 2.41.