BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
Liga NOS Belenenses SAD Vs CD Nacional, 16 May on 8:30 P.M.
Belenenses SAD Vs CD Nacional, 16 May on 8:30 P.M.
The home team
is currently in the 10th position of the league, with 40 points
won, after 9 wins, 13 draws and 11 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost
in a home match against Sporting CP, by (1‑8). In the last match, they lost in
an away match against Vitória Guimarães, by (5‑1). This is a team that usually
maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30
matches they register 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 16
goals scored and 26 conceded; against 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses at their
stadium, with 21 goals scored and 23 conceded. In the last 10 home league
matches Belenenses has a record of 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, so they have
won 12 points out of 30 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best
feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their
offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10
matches for this competition. In 33 matches for this competition, they have
conceded the first goal 18 times and have only turned the score around in 2.
The away team
is currently in the 17th position of the league, with 28 points
won, after 7 wins, 7 draws and 19 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied
in an away match against Vitória Guimarães, by (2‑2). In the last match, they
lost in a home match against Porto, by (0‑4). This is a team that usually makes
good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since
in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 3 draws and 11 losses in away
matches, with 19 goals scored and 51 conceded; against 5 wins, 3 draws and 7
losses at their stadium, with 11 goals scored and 16 conceded. In the last 10
away league matches Nacional has a record of 1 draw and 9 losses, so they have
won 1 point out of 30 possible.
In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 10 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 12 of the last 16 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 7 of the last 33 matches for the Primeira Liga, they have reached half‑time in front in 5 of those 7 matches and have held on to the lead in 6. In 33 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 22 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 16 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 8 of their 22 goals between minutes (76'‑90').
The market we recommend for this game is the triumph of Belenenses. We believe that the hosts will dominate and enjoy the best chances of goal, as they hold a team superior to the opponent of this round. In addition, the home team arrive at this game very motivated, apart from the improvements they presented to each game that passes. On the other hand, Nacional have some gaps in their style of play, which will be fundamental in this clash. To risk this in favor of the victory of the hosts is of enormous value. Therefore, we will bet on the home team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 2.01.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipster. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the Belenenses - Nacional game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for Nacional win and draw are very low, while the odd for Belenenses win is particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for Belenenses SAD – CD Nacional match we will propose Belenenses win offered in a betting odd around 2.01.