BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
Portugal Liga 1 - Moreirense Vs Sporting Braga, 6th April on 10:30 P.M.
Moreirense Vs Sporting Braga, 6th April on 10:30 P.M.
After 14 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses, the home team is in the 5th position, havinf won 45 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Portimonense by (0‑2), after in the previous match they have lost (0‑4) at home, against Benfica. For the league, Moreirense won 20 points out of 30 possible points, after 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the last 10 home matches. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (6 out of 13 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 27 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 13 times and have only turned the score around in 3. In the last 13 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 5 of their 14 goals between minutes (76'‑90').
Moreirense returned to their usual form on the last round. The away win over Portimonense was clear and unequivocal. We saw again a cheerful Moreirense, with positive football, very organized and simple processes. After three games without any victory, and the heavy defeat against Benfica, people were questioning Moreirense's ability to stay in the fight for 5th place. The news about players and technical team have been many, which turns out to be normal, but is something that if not well managed can destabilize. However, none of this has been proven in this last game, and Moreirense proved that they will continue to make history, trying to reach their highest rating ever. Highlight once again for Chiquinho, Heriberto and Arsenio who are in a great form moment.
The away team is currently in the 4th position of the league, with 58 points won, after 18 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Vitória Setúbal, by (0‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Porto, by (2‑3). In their last match, for the Taça de Portugal, they got a home tie against Porto by (1‑1). In the last 10 away league matches Sporting Braga has a record of 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 17 points out of 30 possible. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 27 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times but have turned the score around in 3. In the last 13 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 6 of their 16 goals between minutes (46'‑60').
Sporting Braga had a difficult week following their two encounters with FC Porto. In the first game lost (2-3), and practically stayed out of the title fight. Already in the second game it was confirmed the team's elimination of the Portuguese Cup. That is, in just one week, the warriors of Minho, lost two of their goals. However, this was expected to happen, sooner or later, so it is up to Sporting de Braga to react and continue to prove that they are clearly the best team after the greatest three. That is reflected on the standings, with Sporting de Braga having thirteen points of advantage over 5th place, Moreirense. Abel Ferreira's side have already proved that they can react to these moments, and soon in the next game. The expectation grows to see if this surprising Moreirense can be "bogged down" in Moreira de Cónegos.
It is expected Moreirense to fall on top of the opponent, as the team plays at home, however it should have a very complicated game, since the opponent presents a lot of quality. The away team comes to this game with the aim of surprising the opponent, thus conquering the three points, which would be quite important for the rest of the competition. Even though playing away from home, we believe Sporting Braga have an advantage by holding a higher quality squad. Therefore, we will bet on the away team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 2.05.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipter. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database
any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away
goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for
example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The
above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE
bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of
the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are
briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the
return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company
are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore
it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the Moreirense - Sporting Braga game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for draw and for Moreirense win are very low, while the odd for Sporting Braga win is particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for Moreirense - Sporting Braga match we will propose Sporting Braga win offered in a betting odd around 2.05. Also Over 2.5 and Goal-Goal bets are overestimated and can be played offered in a betting odd around 2.10 and 1.87.