BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
UEFA Champions League - Napoli Vs Barcelona, 25 February on 10:00 P.M.
Napoli Vs Barcelona, 25 February on 10:00 P.M.
The home team got access to this stage of the UEFA Champions League (8th Finals) after having finished the group stage in the 2nd position of Group E, with 12 points won. This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in away matches; against 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses at their stadium. In their last match, for the Serie A, they got an away win against Brescia by (1‑2). In the last 10 home matches Napoli has won 4, tied 1 and lost 5.
They haven’t lost any of the last 6 matches for this competition. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 5 of the last 6 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 8 of their 15 matches, and have only turned the score around in 2.
Napoli comes from a streak of three games without losing, being the last match. a victory by the score of 2 to 1 against Brescia. However, it will now face one of the great European powers. Therefore, they know that they will need to play with extreme efficiency, to leave at least with a positive result. Therefore, taking the decision to their opponent's home. For this match, coach Gennaro Gattuso will be without Kévin Malcuit, Kalidou and Fernando Llorente, all injured.
The away team comes to this stage of the UEFA Champions League (8th Finals) after having finished the group stage in the 1st position of Group F, with 14 points won. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 24 goals scored and 18 conceded; against 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 44 goals scored and 12 conceded. In their last match, for the Primera División, they got a home win against Eibar by (5‑0). Their last away match was for the Primera División and ended in a win by (2‑3) against Real Betis. In the last 10 away matches Barcelona has won 6, tied 2 and lost 2. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only turned the score around in 2. In the last 20 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 12 of their 32 goals between minutes (46'‑60').
Barcelona arrive for this motivated confrontation after a victory by the score of 5 to 0 against Eibar. Now turning their attention to the Champions League, they knows that they will need to maintain their performance to aim for a spot in the next stage. Despite being a difficult match, the Barcelona team has shown a good performance in direct matches. Considering that there are three wins and one defeat, all of them being friendly. For this match, coach Quique will be without Luis Suáres, Dembélé and Jordi Alba, all due to injury.
It is expected of Napoli to fall on top of the opponent, as the team plays at home, however it should have a very complicated game, since the opponent presents a lot of quality. The away team comes to this game with the aim of surprising the opponent, thus conquering the three points, which would be quite important for the rest of the competition. Even though playing away from home, we believe Barcelona has an advantage by holding a higher quality squad. Therefore, we will bet on the away team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 2.26.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipster. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the Napoli – Barcelona game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for Napoli win and draw are low, while the odd for Barcelona win is particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for Napoli – Barcelona match we will propose Barcelona win offered in a betting odd around 2.26.