BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
Germany Bundesliga 2 - St. Pauli Vs Union Berlin, 4th February on 9:30 P.M.
St. Pauli Vs Union Berlin, 4th February on 9:30 P.M.
After 10 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses, the home team is in the 4th position, havinf won 34 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Darmstadt 98 by (2‑1), after in the previous match they have won (4‑1) at home, against Magdeburg. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since they have won 17 points in away matches, with 13 goals scored and 13 conceded, against 17 points won at their stadium, with 18 goals scored and 11 conceded. In the last 9 home league matches St. Pauli has a record of 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 17 points out of 27 possible. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (4 out of 9 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 19 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times, but have turned the score around in 3.
The away team is currently in the 3rd position of the league, with 34 points won, after 8 wins, 10 draws and 1 loss. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Erzgebirge Aue, by (3‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against Köln, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 10 points in away matches and 24 points at their stadium, with 21 goals scored and 5 goals conceded at home, against 8 goals scored and 10 conceded in away matches. Their last away match was for the Club Friendlies and ended in a draw by (0‑0) against Lausanne Sport. In the last 9 away league matches Union Berlin has a record of 1 win, 7 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 10 points out of 27 possible.
In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 5 away matches. In their away league matches, the most frequent final score was the 1‑1 (4 out of 9 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 6 of the last 9 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 19 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 13 away matches for all competitions there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 5 of their 14 goals between minutes (61'‑75'); they have conceded 5 of their 14 goals between minutes (31'‑45').
The most likely scenario for this match will St. Pauli to win. In this match, it is foreseeable that St. Pauli will dominates much of the match and enjoy more opportunities to score goals due to the offensive quality that they have in their squad. On the other hand, Union Berlin has some weaknesses in the defensive sector, which will be decisive for an outcome in favor of the home team. The betting odd for St. Pauli win is founded around 2,60.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipter. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the
return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company
are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore
it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the St. Pauli - Union Berlin game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for Union Berlin win is very low, while the odds for draw and for St. Pauli win are particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for St. Pauli - Union Berlin match we will propose St. Pauli win offered in a betting odd around 2.60.