BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
Romania Liga I - Astra Vs Hermannstadt, 7 October on 8:30 P.M.
Astra Vs Hermannstadt, 7 October on 8:30 P.M.
The home team is currently in the 7th position of the league, with 15 points won, after 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Dinamo Bucureşti, by (3‑2). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Chindia Târgovişte, by (1‑0). This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses in away matches; against 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses at their stadium. In the last 5 home league matches Astra has a record of 3 wins and 2 draws, so they have won 11 points out of 15 possible.
They haven’t lost any of the last 5 home matches for this competition. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. The team has had problems scoring first, since they have only opened up the score once in the last 11 matches for the Liga I. They have conceded the first goal in 10 of their 11 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 3. In the last 7 home matches for all competitions there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 4 of their 11 goals between minutes (61'‑75'); they have conceded 5 of their 8 goals between minutes (16'‑30').
The away team is currently in the 12th position of the league, with 10 points won, after 3 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Sepsi, by (3‑0). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Botoşani, by (0‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 4 draws and 10 losses in away matches, with 11 goals scored and 29 conceded; against 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 25 goals scored and 12 conceded. In the last 6 away league matches Hermannstadt has a record of 1 draw and 5 losses, so they have won 1 point out of 18 possible.
In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 6 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 2 of the last 11 matches for the Liga I, they have reached half‑time in front in all of those 2 matches and held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in all of them. In 11 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 18 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 6 of their 12 goals between minutes (76'‑90').
The market we recommend for this game is the triumph of Astra. We believe that the hosts will dominate and enjoy the best chances of goal, as they hold a team superior to the opponent of this round. In addition, the home team arrive at this game very motivated, apart from the improvements they presented to each game that passes. On the other hand Hermannstadt have some gaps in their style of play, which will be fundamental in this clash. To risk this in favor of the victory of the hosts is of enormous value. Therefore, we will bet on the home team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 2.28.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipter. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the Astra – Hermannstadt game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for Hermannstadt win and draw are very low, while the odd for Astra win is particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for the Astra – Hermannstadt match we will propose Astra win offered in a betting odd around 2.28.