BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
England Championship - Luton Vs Derby, 28 January on 9:45 P.M.
Luton Vs Derby, 28 January on 9:45 P.M.
The home team is currently in the 24th position of the league, with 21 points won, after 6 wins, 3 draws and 19 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Birmingham City, by (1‑2). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Nottingham Forest, by (3‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 6 points in away matches, with 14 goals scored and 39 conceded, against 15 points won at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 22 conceded. For the league, Luton Town won 11 points out of 30 possible points, after 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the last 10 home matches. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (6 out of 13 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in all of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 11 of the last 13 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. They haven't been able to score the first goal. In fact, they have only opened up the score in 7 of the last 28 matches for the Championship, they have reached half‑time in advantage in 4 of those 7 matches and have held on to the lead in 3. They have conceded the first goal in 21 of their 28 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 3. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 13 home matches for this competition: they have scored 7 of their 20 goals between minutes (76'‑90').
Luton comes unmotivated for this match after an away defeat by 3-1, against Nottingham. The home team usually plays in a traditional 4-3-3, favoring a faster playing style. It should be noted that, in this drawing, the three most advanced players are LuaLua, Collins and Cornick, with the greatest quality of the striker Collins being his ability to clear. Luton has a hard time maintaining possession, and their players are not the best at game foresight. When the opposing team attacks more quickly, that is, in transition, Luton's defensive becomes very permeable.
The away team is currently in the 15th position of the league, with 37 points won, after 9 wins, 10 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Middlesbrough, by (2‑2). In the last match, they won in a home match against Hull City, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 8 points in away matches and 29 points at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 11 goals conceded at home, against 10 goals scored and 25 conceded in away matches. In their last match, for the FA Cup, they got an away tie against Northampton Town by (0‑0). In the last 10 away league matches Derby County has a record of 4 draws and 6 losses, so they have won 4 points out of 30 possible.
In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 12 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 28 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 14 times and have never been able to turn the score around.
Derby enters this match after a 0-0 draw at home to Northhampton, counting for the FA Cup. Like the "enemy" of this round, the visiting team chooses to play in a traditional 4-3-3, where the three most advanced players are Lawrence, Waghorn and Knight. By acting out of doors, it is expected that Derby adopts a more defensive posture, with the aim of not losing the grip of the match. Coach Phillip Cocu should not be able to count on Richard Keogh and Krystian Bielik for being handed over to the medical department.
It is expected of Luton to fall on top of the opponent, as the team plays at home, however it should have a very complicated game, since the opponent presents a lot of quality. The away team comes to this game with the aim of surprising the opponent, thus conquering the three points, which would be quite important for the rest of the competition. Even though playing away from home, we believe Derby has an advantage by holding a higher quality squad. Therefore, we will bet on the away team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 2.40.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipster. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the – Derby game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for Luton win and draw are low, while the odd for Derby win is particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for Luton – Derby match we will propose Derby win offered in a betting odd around 2.40.