BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
Italy Serie A - AC Milan Vs Sampdoria, 6 January on 4:00 P.M.
AC Milan Vs Sampdoria, 6 January on 4:00 P.M.
After 6 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses, the home team is in the 11th position, having won 21 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Atalanta by (5‑0), after in the previous match they have tied (0‑0) at home, against Sassuolo. This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in away matches; against 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses at their stadium. In the last 8 home league matches Milan has a record of 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 9 points out of 24 possible. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (3 out of 8 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches for this competition there is a tendency for few goals, since 5 of the last 8 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 9 of their 17 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 20 home matches for all competitions: they have suffered 6 of their 17 goals between minutes (61'‑75').
AC Milan heads into this match with a 5-0 defeat at Atalanta, putting an end to their four consecutive meetings without losing in this Italian championship. In this match against Paderborn, mister Stefano Pioli should keep the team in their usual tactical design, namely 4-3-3, where Suso, Ibrahimovic and Calhanoglu are the most advanced men of the team. Theo Hernández is one of AC Milan's top scorers with 4 goals scored each. Out of this game is Léo Duarte due to injury.
The away team is currently in the 17th position of the league, with 15 points won, after 4 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Genoa, by (0‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Juventus, by (1‑2). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 28 conceded; against 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses at their stadium, with 16 goals scored and 16 conceded. In the last 8 away league matches Sampdoria has a record of 2 wins and 6 losses, so they have won 6 points out of 24 possible. In their away league matches there are a few frequent results at half‑time: 0‑0 (3 out of 8 matches) and 1‑0 (3 out of 8 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 4 of the last 17 matches for the Serie A, they have reached half‑time in front in 1 of those 4 matches and have held on to the lead in 3. In 17 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have only turned the score around in 1.
Sampdoria comes for this match after a defeat, by 1-2, against Juventus, adding the second defeat in the last three matches in the Italian championship: the only goal of the team was signed by Caprari. In this game on foreign lands, mister Claudio Ranieri must act with a defensive strategy, seeking only the counterattack in order to explore the enemy's back. It's important to inform that the visiting team shows many defensive and offensive weaknesses. Gabbiadini is the top scorer with 4 goals. Out of this game are Bonazzoli, Barreto, Ferrari and Bertolacci, all injured.
The market we recommend for this game is the triumph of AC Milan. We believe that the hosts will dominate and enjoy the best chances of goal, as they hold a team superior to the opponent of this round. In addition, the home team arrive at this game very motivated, apart from the improvements they presented to each game that passes. On the other hand Sampdoria have some gaps in their style of play, which will be fundamental in this clash. To risk this in favor of the victory of the hosts is of enormous value. Therefore, we will bet on the home team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 1.63.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipter. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the AC Milan – Sampdoria game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for Sampdoria win and draw are very low, while the odd for AC Milan win is particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for the AC Milan – Sampdoria match we will propose AC Milan win offered in a betting odd around 1.63.