BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
UEFA Euro 2020 Qualifiers - Greece Vs Italy, 8 June on 9:45 P.M.
Greece Vs Italy, 8 June on 9:45 P.M.
The home team
comes to his 3rd round of Group J in the 2nd position,
with 4 points won, after 1 win and 1 draw. In their debut in this group stage
they won in an away match against Liechtenstein by (0‑2). In the second round,
they tied in an away match against Bosnia‑Herzegovina by (2‑2). This is a team
that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since
in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in away
matches; against 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses at their stadium. They come to
this match after a away loss against Turkey by (2‑1). Greece has won 3, tied 2
and lost 3 of the last 8 home matches. Their offense has scored frequently,
since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches. In their home matches
there is a tendency for few goals, since 6 of the last 8 matches have ended
with Under 2,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 8 of their 15
matches, and have never been able to turn the score around.
Greece are second in their group, behind only the mighty Italy, which is their next opponent. In a match to count for the Euro Cup qualifiers. Greece are aware that it will not be an easy game, as it is never easy to face the Italian national team, but they will play next to their fans and this may be an additional motivation to leave the field with victory and solidity in the qualification zone and achieve group leadership. In their last match the Greeks beat Liechtenstein 2-0.
The away team comes to his 3rd round of Group J in the 1st position, with 6 points won, after 2 wins. In their debut in this group stage they won at home against Finland by (2‑0). In the second round, they won at home against Liechtenstein by (6‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 20 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 9 wins and 6 draws at their stadium, with 34 goals scored and 5 conceded. In the last 8 away matches Italy has won 2, tied 1 and lost 5. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 4 of the last 8 matches have ended with Under 1,5 goals and 6 out of 8 have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have never been able to turn the score around.
The Italian national team will have a difficult task ahead of the Greek national team. They will face them away from home and it will not be easy. However, Italy are better technically and will use this in their favor. It's two games and two wins, and they'll come with everything to keep that and their leadership intact. It is quite possible that the Italian national team will conquer the victory even playing away from home, as they are a well-qualified and structured team. The Italians are looking for victory, but cautiously not to lose point against the Greeks. In their last clash, Italy beat Finland 2-0.
It is expected of Greece to fall on top of the opponent, as the team plays at home, however it should have a very complicated game, since the opponent presents a lot of quality. The away team comes to this game with the aim of surprising the opponent, thus conquering the three points, which would be quite important for the rest of the competition. Even though playing away from home, we believe Italy have an advantage by holding a higher quality squad. Therefore, we will bet on the away team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 1.96.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipter. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the Greece –Italy game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odd offered for draw is very low, while the odds for Greece and Italy win are particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for Greece - Italy match we will propose Italy win offered in a betting odd around 1.96.