BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
UEFA Champions League Atletico Madrid Vs Liverpool, 18 February on 10:00 P.M.
Atletico Madrid Vs Liverpool, 18 February on 10:00 P.M.
The home team comes to this stage of the UEFA Champions League (8th Finals) after having finished the group stage in the 2nd position of Group D, with 10 points won. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in away matches; against 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss at their stadium. In their last match, for the Primera División, they got an away tie against Valencia by (2‑2). In the last 10 home matches Atlético Madrid has won 7, tied 2 and lost 1. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 5 of the last 6 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 4 of their 15 matches, and have never been able to turn the score around.
Atletico Madrid comes for this match with a draw, for two balls, against Valencia, adding in this way the second straight game without losing, both counting for the Spanish championship: the goals of the team were signed by Thomas and Llorente. We remember that the Madrilenians ended the group stage in the 2nd position, with 10 points, 6 less than the leader Liverpool. In this match against Liverpool, coach Diego Simeone should take the field with a more cautious strategy, exploring only the counterattack: Correa is a very competent player in the offensive transition. On the other hand, Álvaro Morata is Atletico Madrid's best scorer with 10 goals scored. For this game, the home team cannot count on Trippier, Romera, João Félix and Herrera, all with physical problems.
The away team comes to this stage of the UEFA Champions League (8th Finals) after having finished the group stage in the 1st position of Group E, with 13 points won. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in away matches, with 29 goals scored and 13 conceded; against 12 wins and 3 draws at their stadium, with 33 goals scored and 12 conceded. In their last match, for the Premier League, they got an away win against Norwich City by (0‑1). In the last 10 away matches Liverpool has won 8, tied 1 and lost 1. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 5 of the last 6 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 5 of the last 6 matches for this competition. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 14 of the last 15 matches, they have reached half‑time in front in 8 of those 14 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 12 of them. In the last 20 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 6 of their 17 goals between minutes (76'‑90').
Liverpool starts this game with a triumph, by 0-1, in the visit to Norwich, adding the fourth consecutive victory in official matches: Sadio Mané made the only goal of the match. To reach this stage of the Champions League, the English club won Group E with 13 points won. In this match against Atlético de Madrid, coach Jürgen Klopp should play in 4-3-3, privileging ball possession and organized attacks: Henderson and Wijnaldum are the main game organizers, both of whom have great passing and vision of play quality. The egyptian Mohamed Salah is the visiting team's top scorer with 18 goals scored in official matches. For this game the captain cannot count on Milner and Clyne, both due to injury.
It is expected of Atl. Madrid to fall on top of the opponent, as the team plays at home, however it should have a very complicated game, since the opponent presents a lot of quality. The away team comes to this game with the aim of surprising the opponent, thus conquering the three points, which would be quite important for the rest of the competition. Even though playing away from home, we believe Liverpool have an advantage by holding a higher quality squad. Therefore, we will bet on the away team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 2.35.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipster. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the – Liverpool game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for Atl. Madrid win is low, while the odds for Liverpool win and draw are particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for Atl. Madrid – Liverpool match we will propose Liverpool win offered in a betting odd around 2.35.