BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
Italy Serie A - Brescia Vs Milan, 24 January on 9:45 P.M.
Brescia Vs Milan, 24 January on 9:45 P.M.
After 4 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses, the home team is in the 18th position, having won 15 points so far. In the last match, they have tied at home against Cagliari by (2‑2), after in the previous match they have lost (5‑1) an away match against Sampdoria. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in away matches; against 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses at their stadium. For the league, Brescia won 5 points out of 30 possible points, after 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses in the last 10 home matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 20 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have never been able to turn the score around.
Brescia's squad enters this game with a draw, by two balls, against Cagliari, adding in this way the fifth consecutive encounter without winning in this competition: both of the team's goals were scored by Torregrossa. In this match against AC Milan, a team with several individual values, coach Eugenio Corini must keep the team further back, waiting for the opponent in their defensive midfield. Mario Balotelli is Brescia's top scorer in this competition with 5 goals scored, however, he is absent due to punishment. With the exception of this player, the home manager can count on all his players.
The away team is currently in the 8th position of the league, with 28 points won, after 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Cagliari, by (0‑2). In the last match, they won in a home match against Udinese, by (3‑2). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 17 goals scored and 15 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Milan has a record of 5 wins and 5 losses, so they have won 15 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (5 out of 10 matches). In 20 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have only turned the score around in 2. In the last 10 away matches for this competition there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 5 of their 11 goals between minutes (46'‑60'); they have conceded 5 of their 14 goals between minutes (61'‑75').
AC Milan heads into this match with a 3-2 win against Udinese, thus adding the second consecutive victory in the Italian league: the goals were scored by Ante Rebic (2) and Lucas Hérnandez. In this match against Brescia, coach Stefano Pioli should keep the team in a 4-4-2 formation with Rafael Leão and Zlatan Ibrahimovic as the most advanced men of this home team. Bonaventura will be in the midfield, being this player fundamental in the offensive process. For this game the visiting team cannot count on Musacchio, Lucas Biglia, Calhanoglu and Calabria, all with physical problems.
It is expected of Brescia to fall on top of the opponent, as the team plays at home, however it should have a very complicated game, since the opponent presents a lot of quality. The away team comes to this game with the aim of surprising the opponent, thus conquering the three points, which would be quite important for the rest of the competition. Even though playing away from home, we believe Milan has an advantage by holding a higher quality squad. Therefore, we will bet on the away team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 1.82.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipster. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match Brescialable from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the – Milan game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for Brescia win and draw are low, while the odd for Milan win is particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for Brescia – Milan match we will propose Milan win offered in a betting odd around 1.82.