BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
Italy Serie A - Lecce Vs Cagliari, 24 November on 9:45 P.M.
Lecce Vs Cagliari, 25 November on 4:00 P.M.
After 2 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses, the home team is in the 16th position, havinf won 10 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Lazio by (4‑2), after in the previous match they have tied (2‑2) at home, against Sassuolo. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in away matches; against 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses at their stadium. In the last 5 home league matches Lecce has a record of 2 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 2 points out of 15 possible.
They haven’t won any of the last 5 home matches for this competition. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 12 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have never been able to turn the score around.
Lecce comes for this match after a 4-2 loss against Lazio, making it their seventh straight run without a win in this Italian championship: goals were scored by Andrea La Mantia and Lapadula. In this match against Cagliari, coach Fabio Liverani should keep the team in 4-4-2 with Babacar and Lapadula being the most offensive references of the team. On the other hand, Marco Mancosu is the highlight of this team, being this player responsible for creating and organizing the offensive process. Out of this game are Diego Farias, Tabanelli and Falco, all with physical problems.
The away team is currently in the 4th position of the league, with 24 points won, after 7 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Atalanta, by (0‑2). In the last match, they won in a home match against Fiorentina, by (5‑2). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 19 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 27 goals scored and 18 conceded.
In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 5 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 9 of the last 12 matches for the Serie A, they have reached half‑time in front in 6 of those 9 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 6 of them.
Cagliari comes motivated for this match after winning 5-2 against Fiorentina, totaling their third consecutive win in this competition: their goals were signed by Pisacane, Rog, Nainggolan, Simeone and João Pedro. Mister Roland Maran should maintain his standard of play, that is, organize his pupils in 4-4-2, favoring a more supported style of play. It should be noted that João Pedro is one of the great dangers in front of Cagliari's attack, being this player very powerful and competent in finishing: has 6 goals scored. Out of this game are Birsa, Pavoletti and Cragno, all with physical problems.
It is expected of Lecce to fall on top of the opponent, as the team plays at home, however it should have a very complicated game, since the opponent presents a lot of quality. The away team comes to this game with the aim of surprising the opponent, thus conquering the three points, which would be quite important for the rest of the competition. Even though playing away from home, we believe Cagliari have an advantage by holding a higher quality squad. Therefore, we will bet on the away team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 2.33.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipster. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match Leccelable from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the – Cagliari game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for Lecce win and draw are low, while the odd for Cagliari win is particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for Lecce – Cagliari match we will propose Cagliari win offered in a betting odd around 2.33.