BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
England Championship Derby County Vs Aston Villa, 27 May on 5:00 P.M.
Derby County Vs Aston Villa, 27 May on 5:00 P.M.
The home team
comes to this stage of the Championship (Promotion Play‑offs ‑ Final) after
having eliminated West Bromwich Albion with a away win by (3‑4), after a
penalty shootout, and a home win by (2‑1) in the previous round. This is a team
that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since
in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in away
matches; against 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses at their stadium. For the league,
Aston Villa won 22 points out of 30 possible points, after 7 wins, 1 draw and 2
losses in the last 10 home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively,
since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense
has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches
for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals,
since 18 of the last 24 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5
goals. In 48 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 23
times, but have turned the score around in 7.
The away team comes to this stage of the Championship (Promotion Play‑offs ‑ Final) after a away win by (2‑4) and a home loss by (0‑1) against Leeds United. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 25 conceded; against 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 11 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Derby County has a record of 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 11 points out of 30 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 48 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 23 times but have turned the score around in 7.
It is expected of Derby to fall on top of the opponent, as the team plays at home, however it should have a very complicated game, since the opponent presents a lot of quality. The away team comes to this game with the aim of surprising the opponent, thus conquering the three points, which would be quite important for the rest of the competition. Even though playing away from home, we believe Aston Villa have an advantage by holding a higher quality squad. Therefore, we will bet on the away team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 2.15.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipter. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the Derby County – Aston Villa game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odd offered for Derby win is very low, while the odds for Aston Villa win and draw are particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for Derby County – Aston Villa match we will propose Aston Villa win offered in a betting odd around 2.15.