BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers - FC Basel Vs PSV Eindhoven, 30 July on 9:00 P.M.
FC Basel Vs PSV Eindhoven, 30 July on 9:00 P.M.
The home team comes to this 2nd leg match with a disadvantage of 1 goal, but with the advantage of having scored 2 away goals in the 1st leg. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 39 goals scored and 13 conceded; against 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 33 goals scored and 17 conceded. In their last match, for the Super League, they got a home loss against St. Gallen by (1‑2). In the last 10 home matches Basel has won 6, tied 2 and lost 2. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in all of the last 10 matches. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 25 of the last 28 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals.
Basel kicks off for this match with a 1-2 defeat at home to St. Gallen, counting for the Swiss Championship. It should be noted that the Swiss lost in the first leg against PSV 3-2, however, the two away goals make them dream of a possible passage to the next round of the Champions League. Coach Marcel Koller is expected to lead a 4-4-2 lineup to the field for a more supported style of play. At the individual level we highlight Ricky van Wolfswinkel, a very mobile and competent player at the end. Away from this game are Kuzmanovic and Tushi, both with physical problems.
The away team comes to this 2nd leg match with an advantage of 1 goal, but has suffered 2 goals at home in the 1st leg. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 27 goals scored and 21 conceded; against 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 35 goals scored and 14 conceded. In their last match, for the Super Cup, they got an away loss against Ajax by (2‑0). In the last 10 away matches PSV has won 3, tied 4 and lost 3. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 21 of the last 23 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals and 17 out of 23 have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only turned the score around in 2.
PSV comes for this match after a 2-0 loss against Ajax, in a match for the Dutch Super Cup. We emphasize that the Dutch enter this second match very motivated after beating Basel 3-2. Because he acts out of doors and also because of the advantage in the knockout, mister Mark van Bommel should not use any strategy other than structured defense and going into attack through transitions. To put this at stake, it relies on the speed of the Lozano and Bruma extremes. For this match the coach cannot count on Osch and Baumgartl.
It is expected of Basel to fall on top of the opponent, as the team plays at home, however it should have a very complicated game, since the opponent presents a lot of quality. The away team comes to this game with the aim of surprising the opponent, thus conquering the three points, which would be quite important for the rest of the competition. Even though playing away from home, we believe PSV have an advantage by holding a higher quality squad. Therefore, we will bet on the away team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 2.45.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipter. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the Basel – PSV game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odd offered for Basel win is very low, while the odd for PSV win and draw are particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for Basel – PSV match we will propose PSV win offered in a betting odd around 2.45.