BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
UEFA Champions League - Liverpool Vs Napoli, 11th December on 10:00 P.M.
Liverpool - Napoli, 11th December on 10:00 P.M.
After 2 wins and 3 losses, the home team is currently in the 3rd position, with 6 points won. In the last match, they have lost (2‑1) in an away match against PSG, after in the previous round they have lost (2‑0) in an away match against Crvena Zvezda. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in away matches; against 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses at their stadium. In their last match, for the Premier League, they got an away win against AFC Bournemouth by (0‑4). In the last 10 home matches Liverpool has won 8, tied 1 and lost 1. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 4 of the last 5 matches for this competition. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have only turned the score around in 1. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 20 home matches for all competitions: they have suffered 8 of their 11 goals between minutes (76'‑90').
Liverpool is a team that has won the Champions League five times throughout its history, being the most recent title conquered in the 2004/05 season, and last season was runner-up of the competition, losing the grand final by 3-1 to Real Madrid. The team has been making a relatively good campaign in the Champions League in the current season, having won six of the fifteen points so far, thus being two points behind the second-placed and three points behind the leader. In three of the last five games that Liverpool have played at home, counting several competitions, were scored more than 2.5 goals by the teams. We believe that in this match Liverpool, by playing at home, will be able to score several goals, taking into account mainly the quality of its forwards.
The away team is currently in the 1st position, with 9 points won, after 2 wins and 3 draws. In the penultimate round, they have tied a home match agaisnt PSG by (1‑1). In the last round, they have won a home match against Crvena Zvezda by (3‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 22 goals scored and 24 conceded; against 12 wins and 3 draws at their stadium, with 37 goals scored and 8 conceded. In their last match, for the Serie A, they got a home win against Frosinone by (4‑0). Their last away match was for the Serie A and ended in a win by (1‑2) against Atalanta. In the last 10 away matches Napoli has won 5, tied 2 and lost 3. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 4 of the last 5 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 36 of the last 52 matches have ended with Over 2,5 goals.
Napoli is a team that has not yet managed to win the Champions League, but has a Europa League title, as well as having conquered two Serie A titles throughout its history. The team has been making a good campaign in the Champions League in the current season, having not yet lost in Group C, being a point ahead of the second-placed and three points in front of third-placed. In the last five games that Napoli played away from home, counting several competitions, were scored more than 2.5 goals by the teams. We believe that in this confrontation Napoli, even playing away from home, can seek goals, since the team scored goals in all the last five games it played away from home.
The bet we recommend for this game will be Napoli not to lose. In this match, it is foreseeable that Napoli will dominate much of the match and enjoy more opportunities to score goals due to the offensive quality of their squad. On the other hand, Liverpool presents some weaknesses in the defensive sector, which will be decisive for a result in visiting team’s favor. Thus, it is expectable that the visiting team will get on very well in the match and end up not to lose and take the qualification to the next round of Champions League, founded in a betting odd around 2.30.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipter. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database
any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away
goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for
example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The
above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE
bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of
the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are
briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the Liverpool - Napoli game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for Liverpool win is very low, while the odds for draw and Napoli win are particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for the Liverpool - Napoli match we will propose Napoli not to lose offered in a betting odd around 2.30.