BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
Italy Serie A - Fiorentina Vs Parma, 3 November on 7:00 P.M.
Fiorentina Vs Parma, 3 November on 7:00 P.M.
After 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, the home team is in the 8th position, havinf won 15 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Sassuolo by (1‑2), after in the previous match they have lost (1‑2) at home, against Lazio. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in away matches; against 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses at their stadium. In the last 5 home league matches Fiorentina has a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, so they have won 7 points out of 15 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition.
Fiorentina comes motivated for this match after a 1-2 triumph at Sassuolo's ground, returning to triumphs after two straight matches without a win in this competition: Nikola Milenkovic and Castrovilli's goals were signed. Commander Daniele Russo should favor the maintenance of ball possession and organized attacks, especially through the flanks: Federico Chiesa is very fast and competent to carry the ball into attack. Absent from this match are Franck Ribéry and Germán Pezzella, players fulfilling punishment.
The away team is currently in the 9th position of the league, with 13 points won, after 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Internazionale, by (2‑2). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Hellas Verona, by (0‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 6 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 20 goals scored and 32 conceded; against 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 22 goals scored and 21 conceded. In the last 4 away league matches Parma has a record of 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses, so they have won 4 points out of 12 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 10 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only turned the score around in 1.
Parma comes unmotivated for this match after a 0-1 loss against Verona, thus adding the second consecutive match without a win in this competition. Facing a more competent opponent, mister Roberto D'Aversa should choose a more defensive strategy, favoring quick transitions on the flanks: Gervinho and Kulusevski are very fast. Dane Andreas Cornelius is Parma's top scorer in this competition with 4 goals scored but is absent due to injury. Besides this player, the visiting team’s coach won’t count on Roberto Inglese, Bruno Alves and Laurini, also with physical problems.
The market we recommend for this game is the triumph of Fiorentina. We believe that the hosts will dominate and enjoy the best chances of goal, as they hold a team superior to the opponent of this round. In addition, the home team arrive at this game very motivated, apart from the improvements they presented to each game that passes. On the other hand Parma have some gaps in their style of play, which will be fundamental in this clash. To risk this in favor of the victory of the hosts is of enormous value. Therefore, we will bet on the home team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 1.56.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipter. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the Fiorentina – Parma game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for Parma win and draw are very low, while the odd for Fiorentina win is particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for the Fiorentina – Parma match we will propose Fiorentina win offered in a betting odd around 1.56.