BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
France Ligue 1 - Lille Vs Montpellier, 13 December on 9:45 P.M.
Lille Vs Montpellier, 13 December on 9:45 P.M.
The home team is currently in the 3rd position of the league, with 28 points won, after 8 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Olympique Lyonnais, by (0‑1). In the last match, they won in a home match against Brest, by (1‑0). This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in away matches; against 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses at their stadium. In their last match, for the UEFA Champions League, they got an away loss against Chelsea by (2‑1).
They haven’t lost any of the last 9 home matches for this competition. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 1‑0 (7 out of 9 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 6 of their 17 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around.
Lille enters unmotivated into this journey after a 2-1 outsider defeat against Chelsea to the Champions League. The home club usually acts in a 4-3-3 tactical system, favoring a more offensive style of play. Lille is a team that chooses to use a style of play with ball possession, advancing in the field through short passes, and usually uses the central runner to invest in the offensive process. For this game the home coach should not be able to count on Timothy Weah and Reinildo for being delivered to the medical department.
The away team is currently in the 10th position of the league, with 24 points won, after 6 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Dijon, by (2‑2). In the last match, they lost in a home match against PSG, by (1‑3). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 14 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 18 conceded. In the last 8 away league matches Montpellier has a record of 5 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 5 points out of 24 possible.
In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 8 away matches. In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 1‑0 (3 out of 8 matches) and after the 90' 1‑0 (3 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 6 of the last 8 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 17 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 9 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 3 of their 6 goals between minutes (16'‑30').
Montpellier enters unmotivated into this match after a 1—3 home defeat against Paris Saint-Germain. The outsider set usually plays in a 5-3-2, favoring a faster style of play, with the two most advanced pieces being Delort and Laborde. The man responsible for defining and conducting his team's advances is the french Savanier. The outsider coach should not be able to count on Kaiboué, Ferri and Cozza for being delivered to the medical department.
The market we recommend for this game is the triumph of Lille. We believe that the hosts will dominate and enjoy the best chances of goal, as they hold a team superior to the opponent of this round. In addition, the home team arrive at this game very motivated, apart from the improvements they presented to each game that passes. On the other hand Montpellier have some gaps in their style of play, which will be fundamental in this clash. To risk this in favor of the victory of the hosts is of enormous value. Therefore, we will bet on the home team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 1.95.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipter. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the Lille – Montpellier game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odd offered for Montpellier win is very low, while the odds for Lille win and draw are particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for the Lille – Montpellier match we will propose Lille win offered in a betting odd around 1.95.