BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
Finland League 1 - Ilves Vs Honka, 13th September on 6:30 P.M.
Ilves-Honka, 13th September on 6:30 P.M.
The home team is currently in the 5th position of the league, with 40 points won, after 11 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Mariehamn, by (1‑2). In the last match, they won in an away match against Mariehamn, by (3‑6). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses in away matches; against 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses at their stadium. For the league, Ilves won 17 points out of 30 possible points, after 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in the last 10 home matches. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (6 out of 12 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. 9 of their last 12 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches. In 25 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times, but have turned the score around in 3. In the last 12 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 3 of their 8 goals between minutes (46'‑60').
Ilves comes motivated for this match after having won a 3-6 triumph at Mariehamn ground: the goals have been signed by Jokelainen, Jarvinen (2), Miettunen, Thiaw and Coulibaly (self-goal). Usually, the coach Jarkko Wiss plays in 4-4-2 privileging the ball possession and attacks through the flanks. Lauri Ala-Myllymaki is one of the best scorers in Ilves team with 5 scored goals. For this match, the coach won’t count on Mensah and Fofana Tiemoko, both with physical problems.
The away team is currently in the 4th position of the league, with 41 points won, after 10 wins, 11 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Lahti, by (2‑0). In the last match, they lost in an away match against RoPS, by (2‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 20 goals scored and 21 conceded; against 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 32 goals scored and 13 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Honka has a record of 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 12 points out of 30 possible. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 26 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have only turned the score around in 3.
Honka had a difficult move to RoPS ground as they were defeated by 2-1, putting an end to the four straight matches without proving the bitter taste of defeat: the only goal of the team was scored by Rahimi. Without great surprises, the coach Vesa Vasara will play in the usual 4-2-3-1 privileging the low block and the counterattacks, thus exploiting the space on the opponent's back. Macoumba Kandji is Honka's most important player, being the best scorer with 14 scored goals. It seems that the coach can count on the usual players.
The most likely scenario for this match will be the occurrence of a few goals. This is a match between two teams that aim to add the three points and thus clear the image left last matches, where they added defeats in these conditions. In this way and taking into account all factors, we found enormous value in the ''Over 2.5 Goals'' on the final scoreboard founded in a betting odd around 1,90.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipster. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database
any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away
goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for
example, e.g. ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The
above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE
bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of
the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are
briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the Ilves-Honka game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for Under 2.5 Goals (U 2.5) and for No Goal (NG) are very low, while the odds for Over 2.5 Goals (O 2.5) and for Goal-Goal (GG) are particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for Ilves-Honka match we will propose Over 2.5 Goals offered in a betting odd around 1.90. For more risky players Over 3.5 Goals is offered in a betting odd around 3.35.