BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
UEFA Champions League - Bayer Leverkusen Vs Atletico Madrid, 6 November on 10:00 P.M.
Bayer Leverkusen Vs Atletico Madrid, 6 November on 10:00 P.M.
The home team is currently in the 4th position, no points won yet, after 3 losses. In the penultimate round, they have lost an away match against Juventus by (3‑0). In the last round, they have lost an away match against Atlético Madrid by (1‑0). This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses in away matches; against 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses at their stadium. In their last match, for the Bundesliga, they got a home loss against Borussia M'gladbach by (1‑2). In the last 10 home matches Bayer Leverkusen has won 3, tied 4 and lost 3. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have never been able to turn the score around. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 9 home matches for all competitions: they have scored 6 of their 11 goals between minutes (16'‑30').
Bayer Leverkusen come to this match after a 1-2 home loss to Borussia Monchengladbach, in a game to count for the Budesliga. In their last match in the Champions League group stage, the home team lost 1-0 to Atletico Madrid. In this game, coach Peter Bosz should maintain his standard 4-3-3 tactical system, favoring a more dominant playing style. Looking at the official games this season it can be seen that Kevin Volland is the best scorer of Bayer Leverkusen, with 6 goals scored. Absences due to injury: Bender and Sinkgraven.
The away team is currently in the 2nd position, with 7 points won, after 2 wins and 1 draw. In the penultimate round, they have won an away match against Lokomotiv Moskva by (0‑2). In the last round, they have won a home match against Bayer Leverkusen by (1‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 23 goals scored and 15 conceded; against 10 wins and 5 draws at their stadium, with 22 goals scored and 9 conceded. In their last match, for the Primera División, they got an away tie against Sevilla by (1‑1). In the last 10 away matches Atlético Madrid has won 6, tied 3 and lost 1. Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 3 of the last 10 matches, and their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 20 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 8 of their 22 goals between minutes (76'‑90').
Atletico Madrid arrive for this match after a 1-1 draw against Sevilla, registering the second straight match without winning, both counting for the Spanish league. It should be noted that the team from Madrid won 2 of the 3 matches they played in the Champions League group stage. Coach Diego Simeone should keep his tactical formation, however, opting for a more cautious strategy as he faces a very competent club when playing at home. At the individual level we can highlight Álvaro Morata, player who has scored 5 goals this season. For this game the manager cannot count on João Félix, Savic, Vrsaljko and Giménez, all with physical problems.
It is expected of Bayer Leverkusen to fall on top of the opponent, as the team plays at home, however it should have a very complicated game, since the opponent presents a lot of quality. The away team comes to this game with the aim of surprising the opponent, thus conquering the three points, which would be quite important for the rest of the competition. Even though playing away from home, we believe Atletico Madrid have an advantage by holding a higher quality squad. Therefore, we will bet on the away team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 2.75.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipster. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match Bayer Leverkusenlable from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the – Atletico Madrid game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for Bayer Leverkusen win and draw are low, while the odd for Atletico Madrid win is particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for Bayer Leverkusen – Atletico Madrid match we will propose Atletico Madrid win offered in a betting odd around 2.75.