BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
Campionato - Serie A - AC Milan Vs Atalanta, 23th September on 7:00 P.M.
AC Milan - Atalanta, 23th September on 7:00 P.M.
The home team is currently in the 13th position of the league, with 4 points won, after 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Roma, by (2‑1). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Cagliari, by (1‑1). This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in away matches; against 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses at their stadium. In their last match, for the UEFA Europa League, they got an away win against F91 Dudelange by (0‑1). In the last 10 home matches Milan has won 5, tied 3 and lost 2. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches. They have conceded the first goal in 7 of their 15 matches, and have only turned the score around in 1.
AC Milan arrives at this match with a 0-1 away win over Dudelange in the UEFA Europa League group stage game. It is important to point out that the home team drew by 1-1 against Cagliari on the last game for the Italian championship. In this match against Atalanta, coach Gennaro Gattuso should not shy away from his game model, benefiting the organization of his block and successive quick transitions: Suso is a very fast and strong player in the offensive transition. For this game the coach cannot count on Cutrone, Conti and Strinic, all with physical problems.
The away team is currently in the 14th position of the league, with 4 points won, after 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Cagliari, by (0‑1). In the last match, they lost in an away match against SPAL, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 29 goals scored and 16 conceded; against 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 33 goals scored and 12 conceded. In the last 10 away matches Atalanta has won 4, tied 3 and lost 3. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 3 of the last 4 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 24 of the last 28 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals.
Atalanta comes to this round unmotivated after adding a 2-0 away loss to SPAL. Recall that the away team only adds 1 win in this competition. In this match against AC Milan, coach Gian Piero Gasperini should opt for a cautious strategy, with the lines drawn back, looking for any space to apply the counterattack. Papu Gómez is one of the most important players in this Atalanta, who is very competent in the offensive process. Unavailable for this game due to injury continues Marco Varnier.
The most likely scenario for this clash will be AC Milan winning. Apart from the home team playing with the support of its fans, it is still going through a moment different from the one of the opponent. Thus, it is expected that the home team will end up being superior in the match and conquer the three points. The betting odd for AC Milan win is founded around 2.10.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipster. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, e.g. ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the AC Milan - Atalanta game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for draw and for Atalanta win are very low, while the odds for AC Milan win is particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for AC Milan - Atalanta match we will propose AC Milan win offered in a betting odd around 2.09.