BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
Portugal Primeira Liga - Guimaraes Vs Benfica, 4 January on 10:30 P.M.
Guimaraes Vs Benfica, 4 January on 10:30 P.M.
After 5 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses, the home team is in the 5th position, having won 21 points so far. In the last match, they have tied in an away match against Gil Vicente by (2‑2), after in the previous match they have won (2‑0) at home, against Portimonense. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 20 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 36 goals scored and 10 conceded. In their last match, for the Taça da Liga, they got a home win against Sporting Covilhã by (3‑0). In the last 7 home league matches Vitória Guimarães has a record of 4 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 14 points out of 21 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 5 of their 14 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 15 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 12 of their 31 goals between minutes (76'‑90').
The away team is currently in the 1st position of the league, with 39 points won, after 13 wins and 1 loss. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Boavista, by (1‑4). In the last match, they won in a home match against Famalicão, by (4‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 31 goals scored and 16 conceded; against 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses at their stadium, with 38 goals scored and 6 conceded. In their last match, for the Taça da Liga, they got an away tie against Vitória Setúbal by (2‑2).
In this competition, they have a sequence of 6 wins in the last away matches. Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 3 of the last 10 matches, and their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 20 of the last 30 matches have ended with Over 2,5 goals. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 11 of the last 14 matches for the Primeira Liga, they have reached half‑time in front in 8 of those 11 matches and have always held on to the lead until the end of the 90'. In the last 9 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 5 of their 11 goals between minutes (76'‑90').
It is expected of Guimaraes to fall on top of the opponent, as the team plays at home, however it should have a very complicated game, since the opponent presents a lot of quality. The away team comes to this game with the aim of surprising the opponent, thus conquering the three points, which would be quite important for the rest of the competition. Even though playing away from home, we believe Benfica have an advantage by holding a higher quality squad. Therefore, we will bet on the away team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 1.88.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipster. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match Guimaraeslable from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the – Benfica game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for Guimaraes win and draw are low, while the odd for Benfica win is particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for Guimaraes – Benfica match we will propose Benfica win offered in a betting odd around 1.88.