BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
Portugal Primeira Liga - Santa Clara Vs Porto, 2 March on 9:30 P.M.
Santa Clara Vs Porto, 2 March on 9:30 P.M.
The home team is currently in the 8th position of the league, with 29 points won, after 8 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Tondela, by (1‑0). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Moreirense, by (2‑1). For the league, Santa Clara won 14 points out of 30 possible points, after 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the last 10 home matches. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (5 out of 11 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 10 of their 22 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 11 home matches for this competition: they have suffered 5 of their 13 goals between minutes (46'‑60').
The Santa Clara team has been making a peaceful walk in order to guarantee maintenance, in the second year they play in the first division, after a long absence from the main stages of Portuguese football. With 29 points, two below Vitória de Guimarães and one over Boavista, the Azorean team reaches this 23rd round after having interrupted a cycle of four consecutive victories, the best in the club's history in Liga NOS. It was last week, in the visit to Moreirense (1-2), in a game where Santa Clara suffered very early, at 15 minutes, but showed a good reaction capacity, reaching the tie at 35', through Carlos Júnior, to successfully complete Lincoln's request. In the second half, already reduced to 10 men due to the expulsion of Rafael Ramos, Santa Clara would suffer the 2-1, having still wasted a great chance to reach the tie.
The away team is currently in the 2nd position of the league, with 56 points won, after 18 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Vitória Guimarães, by (1‑2). In the last match, they won in a home match against Portimonense, by (1‑0). In their last match, for the UEFA Europa League, they got a home loss against Bayer Leverkusen by (1‑3). In the last 10 away league matches Porto has a record of 8 wins and 2 draws, so they have won 26 points out of 30 possible.
In this competition, they have a sequence of 4 wins in the last away matches and they haven't lost any of the last 10 away matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑1 (4 out of 11 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 22 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times but have turned the score around in 2.
FC Porto remains in pursuit of Benfica's leadership, with one point behind in the league table. The excellent campaign that Sérgio Conceição's team has made in Liga NOS allowed a recent recovery in the fight for the title, and in the last round, the “dragons” hosted and beat Portimonense, in a game that ended with a 1-0 triumph and a less inspired display. A game much more difficult than what would have been predicted, resolved only with an authentic “bomb” by Alex Telles, in the passing of the 86th minute, when FC Porto already showed some pressure and anxiety. Last Thursday, the blue-and-white team fell in the Europa League, losing again to Bayer Leverkusen, this time at home and by 3-1, after the 2-1 defeat in the first leg on the German ground.
It is expected of Santa Clara to fall on top of the opponent, as the team plays at home, however it should have a very complicated game, since the opponent presents a lot of quality. The away team comes to this game with the aim of surprising the opponent, thus conquering the three points, which would be quite important for the rest of the competition. Even though playing away from home, we believe Porto has an advantage by holding a higher quality squad. Therefore, we will bet on the away team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 1.57.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipster. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the Santa Clara – Porto game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for Santa Clara win and draw are low, while the odd for Porto win is particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for Santa Clara – Porto match we will propose Porto win offered in a betting odd around 1.57.