BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
Italy Serie A - SPAL Vs Sampdoria, 4 November on 9:45 P.M.
SPAL Vs Sampdoria, 4 November on 9:45 P.M.
After 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses, the home team is in the 19th position, havinf won 7 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Milan by (1‑0), after in the previous match they have tied (1‑1) at home, against Napoli. This is a team that usually plays better at home, where they have won 7 points, against only 0 points in away matches. For the league, SPAL won 7 points out of 15 possible points, after 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in the last 5 home matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They haven't been able to score the first goal. In fact, they have only opened up the score in 2 of the last 10 matches for the Serie A, they have reached half‑time in advantage in all of those 2 matches and have held on to the lead in 1. They have conceded the first goal in 8 of their 10 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 8 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 4 of their 10 goals between minutes (16'‑30').
SPAL comes unmotivated for this match after a 1-0 away loss against Milan. The home team usually plays in a 5-3-2 tactical system, favoring a more offensive playing style, attacking through the flanks. SPAL is a team that likes to play in their midfield with the goal of trying to surprise their opponents through the counterattack. When they invest in the offensive process, they usually do it through the right flank to take advantage of the depth offered by midfielder Strefezza. It should be noted that the best quality of SPAL is the good use of direct free. For this match, the home team’s coach shouldn’t be able to count on Federico Di Francesco, Marko Jankovic, Mohamed Fares and Marco D'Alessandro for being injured.
The away team is currently in the 20th position of the league, with 5 points won, after 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Bologna, by (2‑1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Lecce, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won points in away matches and 5 points at their stadium, with 3 goals scored and 7 goals conceded at home, against 3 goals scored and 12 conceded in away matches.
In this competition, they have a sequence of 5 losses in the last away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 21 of the last 23 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals. This is a team that has had problems scoring first, since they have only opened up the score once in the last 10 matches for the Serie A. In 10 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have never been able to turn the score around.
Sampdoria comes for this match after a home draw, against a ball, against Lecce. The visiting team usually plays in a 4-4-2 tactical system, favoring a more defensive playing style, attacking through the flanks. Sampdoria is a team that likes to play in their midfield with the goal of trying to surprise their opponents through the counterattack. When they invest in the offensive process, they usually do it through the left flank to take advantage of the depth offered by Murru. For this match, the visiting team’s coach won’t count on Karol Linetty and Andrea Seculin for being handed over to the medical department.
The market we recommend for this game is the triumph of SPAL. We believe that the hosts will dominate and enjoy the best chances of goal, as they hold a team superior to the opponent of this round. In addition, the home team arrive at this game very motivated, apart from the improvements they presented to each game that passes. On the other hand Sampdoria have some gaps in their style of play, which will be fundamental in this clash. To risk this in favor of the victory of the hosts is of enormous value. Therefore, we will bet on the home team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 2.65.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipter. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the SPAL – Sampdoria game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for Sampdoria win and draw are very low, while the odd for SPAL win is particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for the SPAL – Sampdoria match we will propose SPAL win offered in a betting odd around 2.65.