BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
Spain LaLiga - Alaves Vs Atl. Madrid, 29 October on 8:00 P.M.
Alaves Vs Atl. Madrid, 29 October on 8:00 P.M.
The home team is currently in the 14th position of the league, with 11 points won, after 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Celta de Vigo, by (2‑0). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Villarreal, by (4‑1). This is a team that usually plays better at home, where they have won 10 points, against only 1 point in away matches. For the league, Deportivo Alavés won 10 points out of 15 possible points, after 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 5 home matches. 16 of their last 22 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches. They have conceded the first goal in 6 of their 10 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around.
Alavés comes unmotivated for this round after an away defeat, by 4-1, against Villarreal. Spaniard Lucas Pérez is the intervener responsible for putting the defensive opponent in alert, and his highest quality is the finishing. Usually, Alavés usually acts in a tactical system in 4-4-2, where the organizing of their team match is the Spanish Manu García. The biggest valence in the home team is the counterattacks, as they have fast and strong one-to-one players. The home team’s coach won’t be able to count on Rodrigo Ely and Pina for being injured.
The away team is currently in the 2nd position of the league, with 19 points won, after 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Valencia, by (1‑1). In the last match, they won in a home match against Athletic Club, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 7 points in away matches and 12 points at their stadium, with 7 goals scored and 3 goals conceded at home, against 3 goals scored and 2 conceded in away matches. In the last 4 away league matches Atlético Madrid has a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, so they have won 7 points out of 12 possible.
In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 5 matches. Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 3 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 18 of the last 28 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals.
Atletico Madrid comes motivated for this match after a 2-0 home win against Atletico Bilbao: Saúl and Morata scored the goals of this important victory. The greatest strength of the visiting team lies in their ability to conduct their offensive attacks through quick transitions. The Spaniard Morata is the intervener responsible for putting the defensive opponent in alert, and his highest quality is the finishing. The visiting team’s coach won’t count on Savic, Giménez, Vrsaljko and João Féix for being handed over to the medical department.
It is expected of Alaves to fall on top of the opponent, as the team plays at home, however it should have a very complicated game, since the opponent presents a lot of quality. The away team comes to this game with the aim of surprising the opponent, thus conquering the three points, which would be quite important for the rest of the competition. Even though playing away from home, we believe Atl. Madrid have an advantage by holding a higher quality squad. Therefore, we will bet on the away team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 1.81.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipster. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match Alaveslable from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the – Atl. Madrid game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for Alaves win and draw are low, while the odd for Atl. Madrid win is particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for Alaves – Atl. Madrid match we will propose Atl. Madrid win offered in a betting odd around 1.81.