BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
Portugal Primeira Liga - Benfica Vs Braga, 15 February on 8:00 P.M.
Benfica Vs Braga, 15 February on 8:00 P.M.
The home team is currently in the 1st position of the league, with 54 points won, after 18 wins and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Belenenses, by (3‑2). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Porto, by (3‑2). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 28 goals scored and 18 conceded; against 13 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss at their stadium, with 36 goals scored and 11 conceded. They come to this match after a away draw against Famalicão by (1‑1). For the league, Benfica won 27 points out of 30 possible points, after 9 wins and 1 loss in the last 10 home matches.
They have won the last 8 home matches for this competition. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 1‑0 (4 out of 10 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 15 of the last 20 matches for the Primeira Liga, they have reached half‑time in front in 11 of those 15 matches and have always held on to the lead until the end of the 90'. In 20 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times, but have turned the score around in 3.
Benfica come to this 21st round of the championship at the top of the league table, but with only four points ahead of FC Porto, after the defeat of the last round, in the classic played at Estádio do Dragão, where the “eagles” left defeated (3-2). The strong entry of FC Porto resulted in a goal after 10 minutes, and eight minutes later, Brazilian Carlos Vinícius would take the opportunity to restore equality. The low production of Lage's team resulted in two more goals conceded until the half-time, and, in the start of the second half, Vinícius would score again (50’) and relaunch the hope of the visitors in the match. Something that did not work, since, until the end, Benfica even had the ascendant of the game, but failed to take advantage of the few opportunities they created. Last Tuesday, the team fell short of expectations, although they managed to confirm their qualification for the final of the Portuguese Cup, when they drew (1-1) at Famalicão, in the second leg of the semi-finals.
The away team is currently in the 4th position of the league, with 34 points won, after 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Sporting CP, by (1‑0). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Gil Vicente, by (2‑2). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 11 wins and 4 losses in away matches, with 32 goals scored and 15 conceded; against 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 27 goals scored and 16 conceded. Their last away match for this competition ended in a win by (1‑2) against Moreirense. In the last 10 away league matches Sporting Braga has a record of 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, so they have won 16 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑1 (4 out of 10 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 20 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have only turned the score around in 1.
Braga arrive at this match after losing 3rd place, in the last round, won in the previous round, with a 1-0 victory over Sporting. Therefore, the Minho team come to this round one point from the “lions” and with two more than Rio Ave. After a brilliant series of eight consecutive victories, seven of which with Rúben Amorim in technical command, Braga was fought last weekend, when they draw (2-2) against Gil Vicente. In the first stage, the team were even superior and justly reached the advantage of two goals, by Ricardo Horta (12’) and Ricardo Esgaio (22’). The expulsion of Bruno Viana (41 ’), however, left the team weakened and they ended up failing, in the second half, against the strong reaction of Gil Vicente, who could even turn the score around.
The market we recommend for this game is the triumph of Benfica. We believe that the hosts will dominate and enjoy the best chances of goal, as they hold a team superior to the opponent of this round. In addition, the home team arrives at this game very motivated, apart from the improvements they presented to each game that passes. On the other hand Braga has some gaps in their style of play, which will be fundamental in this clash. To risk this in favor of the victory of the hosts is of enormous value. Therefore, we will bet on the home team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 1.66.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipster. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the Benfica – Braga game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for Braga win and draw are very low, while the odd for Benfica win is particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for the Benfica – Braga match we will propose Benfica win offered in a betting odd around 1.66.