BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
Brazil Campeonato Serie A - Parana Vs Vitoria, 4th November on 9:00 P.M.
Parana - Vitoria, 4th November on 9:30 P.M.
The home team is currently in the 20th position of the league, with 17 points won, after 3 wins, 8 draws and 20 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Flamengo, by (0‑4). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Cruzeiro, by (3‑1). This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 draw and 14 losses in away matches; against 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home league matches Paraná has a record of 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 11 points out of 30 possible.
In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 17 matches. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (7 out of 15 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches, and their offense hasn’t been one of their best features, as they haven’t scored any goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches for this competition there is a tendency for few goals, since 11 of the last 15 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 5 of the last 31 matches for the Serie A, they have reached half‑time in front in 2 of those 5 matches and have held on to the lead in 3. In 31 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 24 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 15 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 4 of their 10 goals between minutes (76'‑90').
The away team is currently in the 19th position of the league, with 33 points won, after 9 wins, 6 draws and 16 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Corinthians, by (2‑2). In the last match, they lost in a home match against São Paulo, by (0‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in away matches, with 10 goals scored and 34 conceded; against 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 16 goals scored and 16 conceded. Their last away match for this competition ended in a win by (0‑1) against Chapecoense. In the last 10 away league matches Vitória has a record of 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses, so they have won 5 points out of 30 possible. In 31 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 14 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 15 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 4 of their 11 goals between minutes (76'‑90').
The most likely scenario for this match will be Vitoria win. In this match, it is foreseeable that Vitoria will dominate much of the match and enjoy more opportunities to score goals. On the other hand, Parana presents some weaknesses in the defensive sector, which will be decisive for a result in visiting team’s favor. Thus, it is expectable that the visiting team will get on very well in the match and end up winning the three points, founded in a betting odd around 2.25.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipter. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the
return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company
are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore
it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the Parana - Vitoria game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for draw and for Parana win are very low, while the odds for Vitoria win is particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for the Parana - Vitoria match we will propose Vitoria win offered in a betting odd around 2.25.