BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
UEFA Europa League Valencia Vs Arsenal, 9 May on 10:00 P.M.
Valencia Vs Arsenal, 9 May on 10:00 P.M.
Despite the 2
goals disadvantage from the 1st leg match, the home team has the advantage of
having scored 1 goal in the away first leg match. This is a team that usually
maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30
matches they register 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 28
goals scored and 22 conceded; against 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss at their
stadium, with 23 goals scored and 6 conceded. They come to this match after a
away win against Huesca by (2‑6). Valencia has won 7, tied 2 and lost 1 of the
last 10 home matches. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have
scored goals in all of the last 7 matches for this competition. In 15 matches,
they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have never been able to turn the
score around. In the last 20 home matches for all competitions there is 1
period that stands out: they have conceded 4 of their 9 goals between minutes
Valencia come to this game with a 2-6 away victory over Huesca, putting an end to the three straight games without losing in official matches. However, we note that the Spaniards lost in the first leg of the Europa League semi-final 3-1. Still, the away goal gives Valencia hope. In this home game, coach Marcelino Toral should play in his usual style, that is, to benefit the defensive organization and the counterattacks through the aisles. Dani Parejo is the great star of Valencia, being responsible for great part of the offensive plays. On the other hand, Gonçalo Guedes is the home team's top scorer in this competition with 3 goals scored. For this game the manager can not count on Cheryshev and Kondogbia, players recovering from injury.
The away team
comes to this 2nd leg match with an advantage of 2 goals, but has suffered 1
goal at home in the 1st leg. This is a team that usually makes good use of the
home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30
matches they register 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 15
goals scored and 26 conceded; against 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses at their
stadium, with 37 goals scored and 12 conceded. In their last match, for the
Premier League, they got a home tie against Brighton & Hove Albion by (1‑1).
In the last 6 UEFA Europa League away matches Arsenal has a record of 4 wins
and 2 losses. Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as
they have only conceded goals in 3 of the last 10 matches, and their offense
has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches
for this competition. This is a team that likes to score first. They have
opened up the score in 10 of the last 13 matches for the UEFA Europa League,
they have reached half‑time in front in 8 of those 10 matches and have held on
to the lead until the end of the 90' in 9 of them. In the last 20 away matches
for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 11
of their 31 goals between minutes (31'‑45').
Arsenal come to this game with a 1-1 home draw against Brighton, registering the second straight official match without losing. Note that the English are at an advantage in this semi-finals, as they beat Valencia 3-1. Despite playing in difficult field, coach Unai Emery should take on a very bold strategy with the lines advanced, trying to best exploit the opponent's defensive weaknesses. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is Arsenal's top scorer in this competition, with 5 goals scored. For this game the coach can not count on Ramsey, Welbeck, Denis Suarez, Bellerín and Holding, all injured.
more quality on some levels compared to the opponent of this game, so the
tendency is to dominate possession and hold the best opportunities to score. On
the other hand, Valencia will fight with their weapons, trying to add points,
but without great success. By taking into account these factors we will risk
with the draw founded in a betting odd around 4.05.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipster. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the Valencia - Arsenal game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odd offered for Valencia win is very low, while the odds for Arsenal win and draw are particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for Valencia – Arsenal match we will propose draw offered in a betting odd around 4.05.