BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
Italy Serie A - AC Milan Vs Torino, 17 February on 9:45 P.M.
AC Milan Vs Torino, 17 February on 9:45 P.M.
The home team is currently in the 10th position of the league, with 32 points won, after 9 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Hellas Verona, by (1‑1). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Internazionale, by (4‑2). This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in away matches; against 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses at their stadium. In their last match, for the Coppa Italia, they got a home tie against Juventus by (1‑1). In the last 10 home league matches Milan has a record of 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 11 points out of 30 possible. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (4 out of 11 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. 7 of their last 11 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches. In 23 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have only turned the score around in 2. there are 2 periods that stand out in the last 11 home matches for this competition: they have scored 4 of their 11 goals between minutes (16'‑30'); they have suffered 5 of their 13 goals between minutes (76'‑90').
AC Milan comes to this match with a tie, to a ball, against Juventus, in a game counting for the Italian Cup. In the last game for the Italian championship, the home team lost by 4-2 against Inter Milan. As usual, commander Stefano Pioli should keep the team in 4-3-3, benefiting the ball possession and successive attacks by the runners: Calhanoglu acts as number 10, however, he appears very well in finishing zones. It should be noted that Theo Hernández is AC Milan's top scorer with 5 goals scored. For this match, the home team cannot count on Biglia and Léo Duarte, both injured.
The away team is currently in the 13th position of the league, with 27 points won, after 8 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Lecce, by (4‑0). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Sampdoria, by (1‑3). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 24 goals scored and 26 conceded; against 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 26 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Torino has a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses, so they have won 10 points out of 30 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 23 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have only turned the score around in 1.
Torino heads into this match with a defeat, by 1-3, against Sampdoria, adding the fourth consecutive defeat in the Italian championship: the only goal of the team was signed by Verdi. In this match against AC Milan, a complicated opponent, Commander Moreno Longo should enter the field with a cautious strategy, with low lines, exploring only the counterattack. However, the visiting team has all the capacity to take over the meeting in a few moments. Andrea Belotti is the best finisher of the visitors with 9 goals scored. For this game, the visiting team cannot count on Armando Izzo due to punishment.
The market we recommend for this game is the triumph of AC Milan. We believe that the hosts will dominate and enjoy the best chances of goal, as they hold a team superior to the opponent of this round. In addition, the home team arrives at this game very motivated, apart from the improvements they presented to each game that passes. On the other hand Torino has some gaps in their style of play, which will be fundamental in this clash. To risk this in favor of the victory of the hosts is of enormous value. Therefore, we will bet on the home team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 1.65.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipster. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the AC Milan – Torino game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for Torino win and draw are very low, while the odd for AC Milan win is particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for the AC Milan – Torino match we will propose AC Milan win offered in a betting odd around 1.65.