BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
Brazil Serie A - Avai Vs Cruzeiro, 11 August on 10:00 P.M.
Avai Vs Cruzeiro, 11 August on 10:00 P.M.
After 5 draws and 8 losses, the home team is in the 20th position, having won 5 points so far. In the last match, they have lost at home against Botafogo by (0‑2), after in the previous match they have lost (3‑1) an away match against Santos. In the last 6 home league matches Avaí has a record of 4 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 4 points out of 18 possible.
In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 13 matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, and their offense needs to do better, since they haven’t scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 39 of the last 59 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. This is a team that has had problems scoring first, since they have only opened up the score once in the last 13 matches for the Serie A. In 13 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 20 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 9 of their 25 goals between minutes (76'‑90').
The away team is currently in the 18th position of the league, with 10 points won, after 2 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Atlético PR, by (0‑2). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Atlético Mineiro, by (2‑0). In their last match, for the Copa do Brasil, they got a home loss against Internacional by (0‑1). In the last 7 away league matches Cruzeiro has a record of 2 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 2 points out of 21 possible.
In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 7 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 3 of the last 13 matches for the Serie A, and have never reached half‑time in front. In 13 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 20 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 9 of their 24 goals between minutes (76'‑90').
It is expected of Avai to fall on top of the opponent, as the team plays at home, however it should have a very complicated game, since the opponent presents a lot of quality. The away team comes to this game with the aim of surprising the opponent, thus conquering the three points, which would be quite important for the rest of the competition. Even though playing away from home, we believe Cruzeiro have an advantage by holding a higher quality squad. Therefore, we will bet on the away team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 2.50.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipter. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the Avai – Cruzeiro game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for draw and Avai win are low, while the odd for Cruzeiro win is particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for Avai – Cruzeiro match we will propose Cruzeiro win offered in a betting odd around 2.50.