BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
Portugal Primeira Liga - Guimaraes Vs Porto, 16 February on 7:30 P.M.
Guimaraes Vs Porto, 16 February on 7:30 P.M.
After 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses, the home team is in the 7th position, having won 28 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Famalicão by (0‑7), after in the previous match they have lost (2‑0) an away match against Boavista. In the last 10 home league matches Vitória Guimarães has a record of 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 17 points out of 30 possible. They have conceded the first goal in 8 of their 20 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around. there are 2 periods that stand out in the last 10 home matches for this competition: they have scored 6 of their 17 goals between minutes (76'‑90'); they have suffered 3 of their 8 goals between minutes (16'‑30').
The Vitória de Guimarães team arrives at this 21st matchday with a campaign slightly below expectations in the championship, since the objective of the European qualification appears, for now, compromised due to the resistance offered by Sporting, Braga, Rio Ave and Famalicão. After three consecutive defeats that Ivo Vieira's team had to deal with, the locals reacted, last week, with a historic defeat by 7-0, in the visit to Famalicão's field. Bruno Duarte (5') and João Carlos Teixeira (14') started to build the triumph in the first quarter of an hour of the game, and the expulsion in Famalicão's team, at the 26th minute of the first part, would make everything easier for Vitória, who entered very strong in the second half, scoring three more goals between minutes 49' and 54' (Edwards, 49', Pepê, 52', João Carlos Teixeira, 54'). The final count came with goals from Davidson (67') and Edwards (who scored twice at 79').
The away team is currently in the 2nd position of the league, with 50 points won, after 16 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Vitória Setúbal, by (0‑4). In the last match, they won in a home match against Benfica, by (3‑2). In their last match, for the Taça de Portugal, they got a home win against Academico Viseu by (3‑0). In the last 10 away league matches Porto has a record of 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 23 points out of 30 possible.
In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 9 away matches. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 20 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times but have turned the score around in 2.
FC Porto comes to this round in the vice-leadership of the league table, but already with only four points of disadvantage in relation to the leadership of Benfica, precisely after the triumph in the “classic” with the eagles, a week ago, at Estádio do Dragão, by 3-2. The strong start in the game by the team of Sérgio Conceição was materialized in a goal at the 10th minute, by Sérgio Oliveira, and, to the goal for the tie of Benfica shortly after (18'), FC Porto reacted with two more goals before the break, by Alex Telles (penalty, 38') and Rúben Dias' own goal (44'). In the second half, the Porto team dropped lines, saw their rivals reduce to 3-2 at the 50th minute, but by the end none of the teams had the audacity to score again, so the final result would be done at the beginning of the second half. Last Wednesday, FC Porto received and beat Académico de Viseu (3-0), confirming qualification for the final of the Portuguese Cup.
It is expected of Guimaraes to fall on top of the opponent, as the team plays at home, however it should have a very complicated game, since the opponent presents a lot of quality. The away team comes to this game with the aim of surprising the opponent, thus conquering the three points, which would be quite important for the rest of the competition. Even though playing away from home, we believe Porto has an advantage by holding a higher quality squad. Therefore, we will bet on the away team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 2.23.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipster. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the Guimaraes – Porto game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for Guimaraes win and draw are low, while the odd for Porto win is particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for Guimaraes – Porto match we will propose Porto win offered in a betting odd around 2.23.