BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
England Premier League - Cardiff Vs Leicester, 3rd November on 5:00 P.M.
Cardiff - Leicester, 3rd November on 5:00 P.M.
After 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses, the home team is in the 17th position, havinf won 5 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Liverpool by (4‑1), after in the previous match they have won (4‑2) at home, against Fulham. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 37 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 21 goals scored and 23 conceded. For the league, Cardiff City won 4 points out of 15 possible points, after 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in the last 5 home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that has had problems scoring first, since they have only opened up the score once in the last 10 matches for the Premier League. In 10 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only turned the score around in 1.
City is making a bad campaign in the English Premier League, adds 6 losses in
the last 7 rounds and is looking for a recovery to try to move away from the
relegation zone. The team has a low quality attack that has scored only 9 goals
in 10 rounds, being the fifth worst of the competition, but the big problem is
its enormous defensive deficiency, since it suffered 23 goals, having the second
most leaked defense, so much so that it suffered 2 or more goals in 6 of the
last 7 games.
Considering the home matches, as the one on Saturday, Cardiff City has encountered huge difficulties, having beaten only Fulham which is among the last placed and is the second team that suffered most goals in the home matches with an average of more than 2 goals conceded per game, evidencing again its defensive fragility. Coach Warnock will not be able to rely on Joe Ralls and Arter, the first due to suspension and the second due to injury.
The away team is currently in the 12th position of the league, with 13 points won, after 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Arsenal, by (3‑1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against West Ham United, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses in away matches, with 27 goals scored and 32 conceded; against 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 16 conceded. In the last 5 away league matches Leicester City has a record of 2 wins and 3 losses, so they have won 6 points out of 15 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 18 of the last 24 matches have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 10 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only turned the score around in 2. In the last 7 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 4 of their 8 goals between minutes (76'‑90').
Leicester is going through a bad moment, has not won for three rounds, lost the last 2 matches and is looking for a recovery as its performance is below expectations in this Premier League. The team has a reasonable attack that has scored 16 goals and is the seventh best of the competition, but the defense has left to be desired, having suffered 16 goals and is the sixth most leaked, so much that it did not concede goals in only 1 of the last 8 games. Considering the away matches, such as this one on Saturday, Leicester City has alternated between defeats and victories and often adopt an offensive posture where it creates several opportunities, so much that it scored goals in the 5 matches it played in this type of situation, but it is worth noting that conceded goals in 4 of them and in 2 of these games it was leaked 3 or more times, since on account of its offensiveness, ends up leaving many spaces behind. Coach Claude Puel will not be able to count on Amartey for this match due to injury.
The most likely scenario for this match is Leicester City not losing. It is true that the team does not make a great English Premier League but has a considerably superior squad and scores goals regularly away from home. Cardiff, in turn, has a poor quality defense and its only home win was over Fulham which is in the relegation zone and when facing a more qualified opponent, has been an easy prey. In addition, Leicester wants the 3 points as a way to honor his then-president who died in a helicopter crash last weekend and players should be even more motivated to win. In view of these factors, we believe that Leicester will take the 3 points. Betting odd for Leicester win can be found around 2.40.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipter. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database
any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away
goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for
example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The
above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE
bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of
the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are
briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the Cardiff - Leicester game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for Cardiff win is very low, while the odds for draw and for Leicester win are particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for the Cardiff - Leicester match we will propose Leicester win offered in a betting odd around 2.40.