BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
Ireland - Premier League - Finn Harps Vs Derry City, 5th April on 9:45 P.M.
Finn Harps Vs Derry City, 5th April on 9:45 P.M.
The home team is currently in the 10th position of the league, with 2 points won, after 2 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Shamrock Rovers, by (0‑1). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Waterford United, by (4‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since they have won 1 point in away matches, with 0 goals scored and 11 conceded, against 1 point won at their stadium, with 5 goals scored and 8 conceded. They come to this match after a home win against Sligo Rovers by (2‑1), after extended time. For the league, Finn Harps won 1 point out of 12 possible points, after 1 draw and 3 losses in the last 4 home matches.
In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 9 matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 9 matches for this competition. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 2 of the last 9 matches for the Premier Division, they have reached half‑time in front in 1 of those 2 matches but have never been able to hold on to the lead until the end of the 90'. In 9 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have never been able to turn the score around.
The away team is currently in the 4th position of the league, with 11 points won, after 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Dundalk, by (0‑2). In the last match, they won in a home match against Sligo Rovers, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 2 points in away matches and 9 points at their stadium, with 8 goals scored and 4 goals conceded at home, against 1 goal scored and 3 conceded in away matches. In their last match, for the League Cup, they got a home win against Longford Town by (3‑0). In the last 10 away matches Derry City has won 4, tied 2 and lost 4.
It is expected Finn Harps to fall on top of the opponent, as the team plays at home, however it should have a very complicated game, since the opponent presents a lot of quality. The away team comes to this game with the aim of surprising the opponent, thus conquering the three points, which would be quite important for the rest of the competition. Even though playing away from home, we believe Derry City have an advantage by holding a higher quality squad. Therefore, we will bet on the away team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 1.90.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipter. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the
return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company
are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore
it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the Finn Harps - Derry City game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for draw and for Finn Harps win are very low, while the odd for Derry City win is particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for Finn Harps - Derry City match we will propose Derry City win offered in a betting odd around 1.89. Also Over 2.5 bet is overestimated and can be played offered in a betting odd around 2.10.