BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
Italy Serie A - Sampdoria Vs Napoli, 3 February on 9:45 P.M.
Sampdoria Vs Napoli, 3 February on 9:45 P.M.
After 5 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses, the home team is in the 16th position, having won 20 points so far. In the last match, they have tied at home against Sassuolo by (0‑0), after in the previous match they have lost (5‑1) an away match against Lazio. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 losses in away matches; against 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home league matches Sampdoria has a record of 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 13 points out of 30 possible. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (4 out of 11 matches). In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 5 of the last 11 matches for this competition have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 4 of the last 21 matches for the Serie A, they have reached half‑time in front in 1 of those 4 matches and have held on to the lead in 3. In 21 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 13 times and have only turned the score around in 2. there are 2 periods that stand out in the last 11 home matches for this competition: they have scored 4 of their 11 goals between minutes (31'‑45'); they have suffered 5 of their 12 goals between minutes (16'‑30').
Sampdoria starts this game with a draw, without any goals, in the reception to Sassuolo, adding in this way the second game in a row without winning in this Italian championship. In this match against Naples, the local team should play in the usual 4-4-2, favoring defensive organization and successive counterattacks, exploring the space in the opponent's defensive line in the best way. Offensive midfielder Gaston Ramírez is the highlight of this team, which is very important in the offensive process and in free kicks. Quagliarella is the best scorer with 5 goals scored. For this match, the home team cannot count on Bereszynski, punished, as well as Barreto, Depaoli and Ferrari, these injured.
The away team is currently in the 10th position of the league, with 27 points won, after 7 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Fiorentina, by (0‑2). In the last match, they won in a home match against Juventus, by (2‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 23 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 21 goals scored and 15 conceded. Their last away match for this competition ended in a loss by (1‑0) against Lazio. In the last 10 away league matches Napoli has a record of 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 13 points out of 30 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 21 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have only turned the score around in 2. In the last 10 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 6 of their 15 goals between minutes (16'‑30').
The team from Naples starts this game with a triumph, by 2-1, against Juventus, returning to the triumphs after three consecutive games without winning in this championship: the goals of the team were initialed by Insigne and Zielinski. Despite playing away at home, it will be natural for coach Gennaro Gattuso to keep the team drawn in 4-3-3 benefiting the maintenance of ball possession and the attacks organized by the runners. Striker Milik is this Naples' top scorer with 7 goals scored. For this game, the stranger cannot count on Allan, Meret, Mertens, Maksimovic, Koulibaly, Ghoulam and Malcuit, all with physical problems.
It is expected of Sampdoria to fall on top of the opponent, as the team plays at home, however it should have a very complicated game, since the opponent presents a lot of quality. The away team comes to this game with the aim of surprising the opponent, thus conquering the three points, which would be quite important for the rest of the competition. Even though playing away from home, we believe Napoli has an advantage by holding a higher quality squad. Therefore, we will bet on the away team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 1.86.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipster. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the – Napoli game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for Sampdoria win and draw are low, while the odd for Napoli win is particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for Sampdoria – Napoli match we will propose Napoli win offered in a betting odd around 1.86.