BET OF THE DAY
BET OF THE DAY
Brazil Campeonato - Serie A - Fortaleza Vs Avai F.C., July 13 on 11:00 P.M.
Fortaleza Vs Avai F.C., July 13 on 11:00 P.M.
The home team is currently in the 15th position of the league, with 10 points won, after 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Grêmio, by (1‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against Cruzeiro, by (2‑1). This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in away matches; against 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss at their stadium. For the league, Fortaleza won 7 points out of 12 possible points, after 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 4 home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in all of the last 9 matches for this competition. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 2 of the last 9 matches for the Serie A, they have reached half‑time in front in 1 of those 2 matches and held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in all of them. In 9 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 20 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 4 of their 10 goals between minutes (76'‑90').
Fortaleza make an unsatisfactory campaign in the Brazilian Championship, but ended a series of 3 games without winning with a great triumph in the last round and go in search of another positive result to try to move away from the relegation zone. The team have problems both in the offensive and defensive sectors, having scored only 8 goals in 9 rounds, being the fourth worst attack of the competition, and suffered 13 goals, having the sixth worst defense, needing to improve in both to reach their goal of not being relegated. Playing at home like the game of this Saturday, Fortaleza have acted reasonably, having lost only 1 of the 4 games they played, come from a victory over Cruzeiro and it is worth noting that they have not conceded more than 1 goal in any of these 4 matches.
For the game against Avaí, manager Rogério Ceni will not be able to count on the defender Nathan due to suspension.
The away team is currently in the 20th position of the league, with 4 points won, after 4 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against São Paulo, by (0‑0). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Palmeiras, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses in away matches, with 22 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 18 goals scored and 7 conceded. In the last 5 away league matches Avaí has a record of 1 draw and 4 losses, so they have won 1 point out of 15 possible.
In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 9 matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 9 matches for this competition. This is a team that has had problems scoring first, since they have only opened up the score once in the last 9 matches for the Serie A. In 9 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 20 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 11 of their 31 goals between minutes (76'‑90').
Avaí make a disastrous campaign in Série A, are the only team that have not yet won after 9 rounds and are looking for an urgent recovery to try to leave the competition's last position. The team have the biggest problem of the enormous inefficiency of their attack that scored only 4 goals in 9 games, being the second worst of the competition, so much so that it do not score goals for three rounds, and also did not score a single goal in 5 of his 9 games so far, and the defense also needs adjustments, having conceded 11 goals and is eighth worst out of the 20 championship teams.
Playing away from home, such as this Saturday's match, Avaí have the worst use of the competition with only 1 point conquered in 15 played and scored only 2 goals in the 5 away matches, showing again their offensive problems, especially away from home where they create very few opportunities.
For the game against Fortaleza, coach Alberto Valentim, who makes his debut in charge of the team, will not be able to count on defender Marquinhos Silva because of injury.
The market we recommend for this game is the triumph of Fortaleza. We believe that the hosts will dominate and enjoy the best chances of goal, as they hold a team superior to the opponent of this round. In addition, the home team arrive at this game very motivated, apart from the improvements they presented to each game that passes. On the other hand Avai have some gaps in their style of play, which will be fundamental in this clash. To risk this in favor of the victory of the hosts is of enormous value. Therefore, we will bet on the home team's victory until the end of the match founded in a betting odd around 1.84.
The above description is a story of a classic betting tipter. BalanceYourBet is not one of them. BalanceYourBet is trying to provide to the player the information if the odds offered by betting sites are underestimated or overestimated. BalanceYourBet is trying to help every player to directly compare whether the tipsters' proposals are VALUE BET odds and help him to decide which match is best for betting. All the information is immediately displayed on the screen within a few seconds. The selection of results on a dark green background significantly increases the chance of success maximizing the profit that can be achieved.
How the BALANCEYOURBET works
For each match available from betting sites, BALANCEYOURBET is searching on his Database any information from older matches (such as final score, home goals, away goals, etc.), as well as data from the current league season (such as, for example, eg ranking, wins-defeats-draws, home goals, away goals, etc.). The above data are processed through appropriate algorithms to determine the VALUE bets for every match. Finally, the results are compared to the current odds of the betting sites and 4 cases are presented in the following legend and are briefly described below:
Dark Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% higher than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Red to discourage the player from choosing this result.
Light Red Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is still greater than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Red to inform the player that the choice of this result is underestimated.
Light Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is lower than the betting site odd, but with a variation of less than 10%. In this case, the betting site's odd is colored in Light Green to inform the player that the choice of this result is overestimated.
Dark Green Color
The betting odd resulting from BALANCEYOURBET analysis is over 10% lower than the betting site odd. In this case the betting site's odd is colored in Dark Green to encourage the player to choose this result.
It is noted that in no case the return on green background should be considered as the most likely outcome. They simply indicate that the odds given by the betting company are high enough in relation to the probability of being confirmed and therefore it is worth the risk of betting (that's what we call VALUE BET).
So for the Fortaleza – Avai F.C. game the information that www.balanceyourbet.com is trying to give is that the betting odds offered for Avai win and draw are very low, while the odd for Fortaleza win is particularly high.
Therefore, by combining the tipster and www.balanceyourbet.com views for the Fortaleza – Avai F.C. match we will propose Fortaleza win offered in a betting odd around 1.84.